Virginia's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+18 partisan voting index and consistent results in recent federal elections, including the incumbent's 70 percent share in 2024. Long-serving Democratic Representative Bobby Scott faces only limited primary opposition ahead of the August 2026 contest on the unchanged post-2020 map, after a court blocked mid-decade redistricting efforts. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that assigns the Democratic nominee a commanding probability ahead of the November general election. Potential shifts remain limited to extraordinary events such as an unforeseen candidate withdrawal, late scandal, or unusually large national partisan swing, none of which have materialized in recent months.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtVA-03 House Election Winner
VA-03 House Election Winner
$35,433 KL.
$35,433 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
7%
$35,433 KL.
$35,433 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$20,076 KL.
94%
Republican Party
$15,357 KL.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+18 partisan voting index and consistent results in recent federal elections, including the incumbent's 70 percent share in 2024. Long-serving Democratic Representative Bobby Scott faces only limited primary opposition ahead of the August 2026 contest on the unchanged post-2020 map, after a court blocked mid-decade redistricting efforts. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that assigns the Democratic nominee a commanding probability ahead of the November general election. Potential shifts remain limited to extraordinary events such as an unforeseen candidate withdrawal, late scandal, or unusually large national partisan swing, none of which have materialized in recent months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Khối lượng
$35,433Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+18 partisan voting index and consistent results in recent federal elections, including the incumbent's 70 percent share in 2024. Long-serving Democratic Representative Bobby Scott faces only limited primary opposition ahead of the August 2026 contest on the unchanged post-2020 map, after a court blocked mid-decade redistricting efforts. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that assigns the Democratic nominee a commanding probability ahead of the November general election. Potential shifts remain limited to extraordinary events such as an unforeseen candidate withdrawal, late scandal, or unusually large national partisan swing, none of which have materialized in recent months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$35,433Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Virginia's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+18 partisan voting index and consistent results in recent federal elections, including the incumbent's 70 percent share in 2024. Long-serving Democratic Representative Bobby Scott faces only limited primary opposition ahead of the August 2026 contest on the unchanged post-2020 map, after a court blocked mid-decade redistricting efforts. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that assigns the Democratic nominee a commanding probability ahead of the November general election. Potential shifts remain limited to extraordinary events such as an unforeseen candidate withdrawal, late scandal, or unusually large national partisan swing, none of which have materialized in recent months.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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