Incumbent Republican Chuck Fleischmann secured the party nomination without opposition in the August 2026 primary for Tennessee’s 3rd Congressional District, facing Democratic nominee Anna Golladay and several independents in the November general election. The district’s R+18 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, including Fleischmann’s 2024 victory by a wide margin, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome at over 90 percent. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as safe or solid Republican. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event impacting the incumbent, or an unforeseen national political shift could narrow the gap, though the structural advantages and limited competitive history make such reversals uncommon within the resolution window.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtTN-03 House Election Winner
$37,273 KL.
$37,273 KL.
Republican Party
95%
Democratic Party
6%
$37,273 KL.
$37,273 KL.
Republican Party
95%
Democratic Party
6%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Người giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Người giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Chuck Fleischmann secured the party nomination without opposition in the August 2026 primary for Tennessee’s 3rd Congressional District, facing Democratic nominee Anna Golladay and several independents in the November general election. The district’s R+18 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, including Fleischmann’s 2024 victory by a wide margin, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome at over 90 percent. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as safe or solid Republican. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event impacting the incumbent, or an unforeseen national political shift could narrow the gap, though the structural advantages and limited competitive history make such reversals uncommon within the resolution window.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật


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