Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's explicit rejection of snap elections on April 6—stating they are "not on our agenda"—has anchored trader consensus at 89.5% against his exit by December 31, 2026, aligning with the constitutionally scheduled presidential vote no later than May 2028. Recent opposition pressure from Republican People's Party (CHP) leader Özgür Özel, including calls for early polls on April 1 and 10 amid economic strains, was swiftly dismissed by Erdoğan's Justice and Development Party (AKP). Though February polls showed challengers like İstanbul Mayor Ekrem İmamoğlu leading hypothetical runoffs and unverified health rumors persist, no confirmed catalysts for resignation or no-confidence maneuvers exist, leaving odds stable absent major disruptions like scandals or health events.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtErdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
$348,914 KL.
$348,914 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
Kiếm 4%
$348,914 KL.
$348,914 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
Kiếm 4%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's explicit rejection of snap elections on April 6—stating they are "not on our agenda"—has anchored trader consensus at 89.5% against his exit by December 31, 2026, aligning with the constitutionally scheduled presidential vote no later than May 2028. Recent opposition pressure from Republican People's Party (CHP) leader Özgür Özel, including calls for early polls on April 1 and 10 amid economic strains, was swiftly dismissed by Erdoğan's Justice and Development Party (AKP). Though February polls showed challengers like İstanbul Mayor Ekrem İmamoğlu leading hypothetical runoffs and unverified health rumors persist, no confirmed catalysts for resignation or no-confidence maneuvers exist, leaving odds stable absent major disruptions like scandals or health events.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Khối lượng
$348,914Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's explicit rejection of snap elections on April 6—stating they are "not on our agenda"—has anchored trader consensus at 89.5% against his exit by December 31, 2026, aligning with the constitutionally scheduled presidential vote no later than May 2028. Recent opposition pressure from Republican People's Party (CHP) leader Özgür Özel, including calls for early polls on April 1 and 10 amid economic strains, was swiftly dismissed by Erdoğan's Justice and Development Party (AKP). Though February polls showed challengers like İstanbul Mayor Ekrem İmamoğlu leading hypothetical runoffs and unverified health rumors persist, no confirmed catalysts for resignation or no-confidence maneuvers exist, leaving odds stable absent major disruptions like scandals or health events.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$348,914Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's explicit rejection of snap elections on April 6—stating they are "not on our agenda"—has anchored trader consensus at 89.5% against his exit by December 31, 2026, aligning with the constitutionally scheduled presidential vote no later than May 2028. Recent opposition pressure from Republican People's Party (CHP) leader Özgür Özel, including calls for early polls on April 1 and 10 amid economic strains, was swiftly dismissed by Erdoğan's Justice and Development Party (AKP). Though February polls showed challengers like İstanbul Mayor Ekrem İmamoğlu leading hypothetical runoffs and unverified health rumors persist, no confirmed catalysts for resignation or no-confidence maneuvers exist, leaving odds stable absent major disruptions like scandals or health events.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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