Narendra Modi remains firmly in office as prime minister during his third term, with the next Lok Sabha elections not due until 2029. As of mid-October 2026, he continues routine governance, including project inaugurations in Tamil Nadu, meetings with state chief ministers, and public appearances marking 25 years in office, while his Bharatiya Janata Party-led coalition maintains its parliamentary majority. Opposition protests over electoral rolls and the Election Commission have generated political friction but have not produced any successful no-confidence motion, resignation signals, or constitutional challenges capable of removing him before year-end. Trader consensus reflected in the 92.5% probability on “No” aligns with the absence of near-term mechanisms for ouster and the stability of the current term. Only extraordinary late developments, such as sudden health events or a sudden collapse of coalition support, could alter this trajectory before December 31.