Recent Middle East geopolitical tensions have triggered energy price spikes that pushed euro-area inflation higher, reversing earlier expectations of further ECB easing. With the deposit facility rate at 2.00 percent following the April 2026 hold, official communications signaled readiness to tighten, and markets now price a near-certain 25-basis-point hike at the June meeting plus potential additional increases later in the year to address second-round effects amid resilient labor markets and firmer core readings. This data-dependent shift, reinforced by economist surveys, underpins the strong trader consensus against any rate cut through December 2026, with only rapid de-escalation or sharply softer inflation data likely to alter the path.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$28,250 KL.
$28,250 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
$28,250 KL.
$28,250 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent Middle East geopolitical tensions have triggered energy price spikes that pushed euro-area inflation higher, reversing earlier expectations of further ECB easing. With the deposit facility rate at 2.00 percent following the April 2026 hold, official communications signaled readiness to tighten, and markets now price a near-certain 25-basis-point hike at the June meeting plus potential additional increases later in the year to address second-round effects amid resilient labor markets and firmer core readings. This data-dependent shift, reinforced by economist surveys, underpins the strong trader consensus against any rate cut through December 2026, with only rapid de-escalation or sharply softer inflation data likely to alter the path.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Dec 23, 2025, 5:10 PM ET
Khối lượng
$28,250Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 23, 2025, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent Middle East geopolitical tensions have triggered energy price spikes that pushed euro-area inflation higher, reversing earlier expectations of further ECB easing. With the deposit facility rate at 2.00 percent following the April 2026 hold, official communications signaled readiness to tighten, and markets now price a near-certain 25-basis-point hike at the June meeting plus potential additional increases later in the year to address second-round effects amid resilient labor markets and firmer core readings. This data-dependent shift, reinforced by economist surveys, underpins the strong trader consensus against any rate cut through December 2026, with only rapid de-escalation or sharply softer inflation data likely to alter the path.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$28,250Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 23, 2025, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent Middle East geopolitical tensions have triggered energy price spikes that pushed euro-area inflation higher, reversing earlier expectations of further ECB easing. With the deposit facility rate at 2.00 percent following the April 2026 hold, official communications signaled readiness to tighten, and markets now price a near-certain 25-basis-point hike at the June meeting plus potential additional increases later in the year to address second-round effects amid resilient labor markets and firmer core readings. This data-dependent shift, reinforced by economist surveys, underpins the strong trader consensus against any rate cut through December 2026, with only rapid de-escalation or sharply softer inflation data likely to alter the path.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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