Recent FOMC meetings have reinforced a steady federal funds rate at the 3.50%-3.75% target range, with holds in March and April 2026 amid resilient growth, a stable labor market near 4.3% unemployment, and persistent inflation pressures from elevated energy prices tied to geopolitical tensions. Market-implied odds for further pauses through the June 16-17 meeting reflect this hawkish tilt, as officials emphasize upside inflation risks in recent minutes and brokerages have largely removed 2026 easing expectations. Key upcoming catalysts include the June CPI release and FOMC statement, which could solidify the hold path or introduce volatility if data surprises materially to the downside. While the 98.1% consensus for Pause–Pause–Pause captures broad trader alignment backed by real capital, unexpected disinflation or a sharp growth slowdown could still shift probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtDừng–Dừng–Dừng 98.1%
Tạm dừng–Tạm dừng–Cắt giảm 1.3%
Khác <1%
$1,281,039 KL.
$1,281,039 KL.
Jun 17, 2026
Dừng–Dừng–Dừng
98%
Tạm dừng–Tạm dừng–Cắt giảm
1%
Khác
1%
Dừng–Dừng–Dừng 98.1%
Tạm dừng–Tạm dừng–Cắt giảm 1.3%
Khác <1%
$1,281,039 KL.
$1,281,039 KL.
Jun 17, 2026
Dừng–Dừng–Dừng
$148,368 KL.
98%
Tạm dừng–Tạm dừng–Cắt giảm
$99,776 KL.
1%
Khác
$287,554 KL.
1%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: March 17-18, 2026; April 28-29; and June 16-17.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmRecent FOMC meetings have reinforced a steady federal funds rate at the 3.50%-3.75% target range, with holds in March and April 2026 amid resilient growth, a stable labor market near 4.3% unemployment, and persistent inflation pressures from elevated energy prices tied to geopolitical tensions. Market-implied odds for further pauses through the June 16-17 meeting reflect this hawkish tilt, as officials emphasize upside inflation risks in recent minutes and brokerages have largely removed 2026 easing expectations. Key upcoming catalysts include the June CPI release and FOMC statement, which could solidify the hold path or introduce volatility if data surprises materially to the downside. While the 98.1% consensus for Pause–Pause–Pause captures broad trader alignment backed by real capital, unexpected disinflation or a sharp growth slowdown could still shift probabilities.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: March 17-18, 2026; April 28-29; and June 16-17.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: March 17-18, 2026; April 28-29; and June 16-17.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
Thị trường mở: Jan 29, 2026, 5:18 PM ET
Khối lượng
$1,281,039Ngày kết thúc
Jun 17, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 29, 2026, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: March 17-18, 2026; April 28-29; and June 16-17.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmRecent FOMC meetings have reinforced a steady federal funds rate at the 3.50%-3.75% target range, with holds in March and April 2026 amid resilient growth, a stable labor market near 4.3% unemployment, and persistent inflation pressures from elevated energy prices tied to geopolitical tensions. Market-implied odds for further pauses through the June 16-17 meeting reflect this hawkish tilt, as officials emphasize upside inflation risks in recent minutes and brokerages have largely removed 2026 easing expectations. Key upcoming catalysts include the June CPI release and FOMC statement, which could solidify the hold path or introduce volatility if data surprises materially to the downside. While the 98.1% consensus for Pause–Pause–Pause captures broad trader alignment backed by real capital, unexpected disinflation or a sharp growth slowdown could still shift probabilities.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: March 17-18, 2026; April 28-29; and June 16-17.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: March 17-18, 2026; April 28-29; and June 16-17.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
Khối lượng
$1,281,039Ngày kết thúc
Jun 17, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 29, 2026, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent FOMC meetings have reinforced a steady federal funds rate at the 3.50%-3.75% target range, with holds in March and April 2026 amid resilient growth, a stable labor market near 4.3% unemployment, and persistent inflation pressures from elevated energy prices tied to geopolitical tensions. Market-implied odds for further pauses through the June 16-17 meeting reflect this hawkish tilt, as officials emphasize upside inflation risks in recent minutes and brokerages have largely removed 2026 easing expectations. Key upcoming catalysts include the June CPI release and FOMC statement, which could solidify the hold path or introduce volatility if data surprises materially to the downside. While the 98.1% consensus for Pause–Pause–Pause captures broad trader alignment backed by real capital, unexpected disinflation or a sharp growth slowdown could still shift probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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