Arizona’s 6th congressional district remains a competitive swing seat where the Republican incumbent Juan Ciscomani defeated his Democratic opponent by three points in 2024. Early 2026 polling shows Democratic front-runner JoAnna Mendoza, a retired Marine and primary candidate, holding narrow leads over Ciscomani in head-to-head matchups. Both candidates have raised substantial funds ahead of the July 21 primaries, with Mendoza posting strong quarterly hauls. The district’s even partisan balance and historical closeness position it as a potential battleground in the broader 2026 midterms, where trader consensus on Polymarket reflects these polling trends and the absence of decisive shifts in candidate positioning or district dynamics.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtAZ-06 House Election Winner
AZ-06 House Election Winner
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
74%
Republican Party
27%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$470 KL.
74%
Republican Party
$954 KL.
27%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona’s 6th congressional district remains a competitive swing seat where the Republican incumbent Juan Ciscomani defeated his Democratic opponent by three points in 2024. Early 2026 polling shows Democratic front-runner JoAnna Mendoza, a retired Marine and primary candidate, holding narrow leads over Ciscomani in head-to-head matchups. Both candidates have raised substantial funds ahead of the July 21 primaries, with Mendoza posting strong quarterly hauls. The district’s even partisan balance and historical closeness position it as a potential battleground in the broader 2026 midterms, where trader consensus on Polymarket reflects these polling trends and the absence of decisive shifts in candidate positioning or district dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ET
Khối lượng
$1,424Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona’s 6th congressional district remains a competitive swing seat where the Republican incumbent Juan Ciscomani defeated his Democratic opponent by three points in 2024. Early 2026 polling shows Democratic front-runner JoAnna Mendoza, a retired Marine and primary candidate, holding narrow leads over Ciscomani in head-to-head matchups. Both candidates have raised substantial funds ahead of the July 21 primaries, with Mendoza posting strong quarterly hauls. The district’s even partisan balance and historical closeness position it as a potential battleground in the broader 2026 midterms, where trader consensus on Polymarket reflects these polling trends and the absence of decisive shifts in candidate positioning or district dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$1,424Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Arizona’s 6th congressional district remains a competitive swing seat where the Republican incumbent Juan Ciscomani defeated his Democratic opponent by three points in 2024. Early 2026 polling shows Democratic front-runner JoAnna Mendoza, a retired Marine and primary candidate, holding narrow leads over Ciscomani in head-to-head matchups. Both candidates have raised substantial funds ahead of the July 21 primaries, with Mendoza posting strong quarterly hauls. The district’s even partisan balance and historical closeness position it as a potential battleground in the broader 2026 midterms, where trader consensus on Polymarket reflects these polling trends and the absence of decisive shifts in candidate positioning or district dynamics.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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