The Republican nominee holds an overwhelming advantage in the TX-22 House race due to the district's established Republican tilt, where Donald Trump carried nearly 60 percent in 2024 and the prior incumbent won by double digits. With Troy Nehls retiring and creating an open seat, his twin brother Trever Nehls secured the GOP nomination decisively in the March primary, preserving party continuity ahead of the November 3 general election. The Democratic nominee, Marquette Greene-Scott, faces structural headwinds in a diverse but Republican-leaning suburban Houston area spanning Fort Bend, Harris, and Brazoria counties. Trader consensus reflects these baseline partisan fundamentals, with limited recent developments since the primaries to alter the outlook.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtTX-22 House Election Winner
TX-22 House Election Winner
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
88%
Democratic Party
13%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$1,280 KL.
88%
Democratic Party
$2,092 KL.
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican nominee holds an overwhelming advantage in the TX-22 House race due to the district's established Republican tilt, where Donald Trump carried nearly 60 percent in 2024 and the prior incumbent won by double digits. With Troy Nehls retiring and creating an open seat, his twin brother Trever Nehls secured the GOP nomination decisively in the March primary, preserving party continuity ahead of the November 3 general election. The Democratic nominee, Marquette Greene-Scott, faces structural headwinds in a diverse but Republican-leaning suburban Houston area spanning Fort Bend, Harris, and Brazoria counties. Trader consensus reflects these baseline partisan fundamentals, with limited recent developments since the primaries to alter the outlook.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Khối lượng
$3,373Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican nominee holds an overwhelming advantage in the TX-22 House race due to the district's established Republican tilt, where Donald Trump carried nearly 60 percent in 2024 and the prior incumbent won by double digits. With Troy Nehls retiring and creating an open seat, his twin brother Trever Nehls secured the GOP nomination decisively in the March primary, preserving party continuity ahead of the November 3 general election. The Democratic nominee, Marquette Greene-Scott, faces structural headwinds in a diverse but Republican-leaning suburban Houston area spanning Fort Bend, Harris, and Brazoria counties. Trader consensus reflects these baseline partisan fundamentals, with limited recent developments since the primaries to alter the outlook.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$3,373Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Republican nominee holds an overwhelming advantage in the TX-22 House race due to the district's established Republican tilt, where Donald Trump carried nearly 60 percent in 2024 and the prior incumbent won by double digits. With Troy Nehls retiring and creating an open seat, his twin brother Trever Nehls secured the GOP nomination decisively in the March primary, preserving party continuity ahead of the November 3 general election. The Democratic nominee, Marquette Greene-Scott, faces structural headwinds in a diverse but Republican-leaning suburban Houston area spanning Fort Bend, Harris, and Brazoria counties. Trader consensus reflects these baseline partisan fundamentals, with limited recent developments since the primaries to alter the outlook.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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