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Політика·Первинні

VA-02 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for VA-02 Democratic Primary Winner
Політика·Первинні

VA-02 Democratic Primary Winner

Elaine Luria 86%

Matt Strickler 7.7%

James Osyf 5.3%

Burk Stringfellow 4.3%

Polymarket
НОВЕ

Elaine Luria 86%

Matt Strickler 7.7%

James Osyf 5.3%

Burk Stringfellow 4.3%

Polymarket
НОВЕ

Elaine Luria

$1,330 Обс.

86%

Matt Strickler

$594 Обс.

8%

James Osyf

$1,122 Обс.

5%

Burk Stringfellow

$616 Обс.

4%

Nicolaus Sleister

$1,035 Обс.

4%

Patrick Mosolf

$1,514 Обс.

3%

Nila Devanath

$878 Обс.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former Representative Elaine Luria dominates trader consensus at 85.5% implied probability for the VA-02 Democratic primary on August 4, driven by her prior two terms representing the district, fundraising superiority exceeding $2 million, and endorsements from EMILYs List, the DCCC Red to Blue program, and Governor-elect Abigail Spanberger. Matt Strickler's campaign suspension on April 28 consolidated momentum behind Luria, while his lingering 8.5% odds reflect slow market adjustment amid low-volume trading on longshots. James Osyf trails at 10.8% on veteran submariner credentials appealing to the district's military-heavy electorate in Virginia Beach and Hampton Roads; remaining challengers like Nicolaus Sleister, Burk Stringfellow, Patrick Mosolf, and Nila Devanath hold single digits due to limited resources and name recognition. Pending mid-decade redistricting litigation adds uncertainty, with early voting underway.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 16, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$7,089
Дата завершення
Jun 16, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Nov 25, 2025, 4:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former Representative Elaine Luria dominates trader consensus at 85.5% implied probability for the VA-02 Democratic primary on August 4, driven by her prior two terms representing the district, fundraising superiority exceeding $2 million, and endorsements from EMILYs List, the DCCC Red to Blue program, and Governor-elect Abigail Spanberger. Matt Strickler's campaign suspension on April 28 consolidated momentum behind Luria, while his lingering 8.5% odds reflect slow market adjustment amid low-volume trading on longshots. James Osyf trails at 10.8% on veteran submariner credentials appealing to the district's military-heavy electorate in Virginia Beach and Hampton Roads; remaining challengers like Nicolaus Sleister, Burk Stringfellow, Patrick Mosolf, and Nila Devanath hold single digits due to limited resources and name recognition. Pending mid-decade redistricting litigation adds uncertainty, with early voting underway.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 16, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$7,089
Дата завершення
Jun 16, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Nov 25, 2025, 4:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«VA-02 Democratic Primary Winner» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 7 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Elaine Luria» з 86%, далі «Matt Strickler» з 8%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«VA-02 Democratic Primary Winner» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Nov 25, 2025. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «VA-02 Democratic Primary Winner», перегляньте 7 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «VA-02 Democratic Primary Winner» — «Elaine Luria» з 86%. Наступний — «Matt Strickler» з 8%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «VA-02 Democratic Primary Winner» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.