Skip to main content
Market icon
Політика·Первинні

VA-02 Democratic Primary Winner

Market icon
Політика·Первинні

VA-02 Democratic Primary Winner

Elaine Luria 86%

James Osyf 4.8%

Burk Stringfellow 3.9%

Matt Strickler 3.9%

Polymarket
НОВЕ

Elaine Luria 86%

James Osyf 4.8%

Burk Stringfellow 3.9%

Matt Strickler 3.9%

Polymarket
НОВЕ

Elaine Luria

$1,261 Обс.

86%

James Osyf

$1,097 Обс.

5%

Burk Stringfellow

$0 Обс.

4%

Matt Strickler

$0 Обс.

4%

Nila Devanath

$794 Обс.

2%

Patrick Mosolf

$1,509 Обс.

2%

Nicolaus Sleister

$0 Обс.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former U.S. Rep. Elaine Luria dominates trader consensus at 85% implied probability to win Virginia's 2nd Congressional District Democratic primary on August 4, driven by her superior fundraising—$1.75 million raised in Q1 2026 with $2.3 million cash-on-hand per recent FEC filings—vastly outpacing rivals like James Osyf ($411,000) and others. Her inclusion in the DCCC's Red to Blue program signals strong party infrastructure support, bolstering her name recognition as a Navy veteran and prior district representative. Challengers including Matt Strickler, Burk Stringfellow, Nila Devanath, Patrick Mosolf, and Nicolaus Sleister trail with limited resources and visibility, reflecting crowded field dynamics favoring the frontrunner absent polling shifts or scandals.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 16, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$4,661
Дата завершення
Jun 16, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Nov 25, 2025, 4:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former U.S. Rep. Elaine Luria dominates trader consensus at 85% implied probability to win Virginia's 2nd Congressional District Democratic primary on August 4, driven by her superior fundraising—$1.75 million raised in Q1 2026 with $2.3 million cash-on-hand per recent FEC filings—vastly outpacing rivals like James Osyf ($411,000) and others. Her inclusion in the DCCC's Red to Blue program signals strong party infrastructure support, bolstering her name recognition as a Navy veteran and prior district representative. Challengers including Matt Strickler, Burk Stringfellow, Nila Devanath, Patrick Mosolf, and Nicolaus Sleister trail with limited resources and visibility, reflecting crowded field dynamics favoring the frontrunner absent polling shifts or scandals.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 16, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$4,661
Дата завершення
Jun 16, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Nov 25, 2025, 4:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«VA-02 Democratic Primary Winner» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 7 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Elaine Luria» з 86%, далі «James Osyf» з 5%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«VA-02 Democratic Primary Winner» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Nov 25, 2025. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «VA-02 Democratic Primary Winner», перегляньте 7 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «VA-02 Democratic Primary Winner» — «Elaine Luria» з 86%. Наступний — «James Osyf» з 5%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «VA-02 Democratic Primary Winner» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.