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Ended: Jun 30

Ended: Jun 30

$529,033,417 Обс.

Jun 30, 2026
Polymarket

$529,033,417 Обс.

Polymarket

December 31

$19,193 Обс.

No

January 11

$3,035,454 Обс.

No

January 12

$1,743,135 Обс.

No

January 13

$3,335,543 Обс.

No

January 14

$13,619,742 Обс.

No

January 15

$7,975,002 Обс.

No

January 16

$8,491,723 Обс.

No

January 17

$3,823,998 Обс.

No

January 18

$5,468,913 Обс.

No

January 23

$12,296,618 Обс.

No

January 24

$2,924,662 Обс.

No

January 25

$2,703,692 Обс.

No

January 26

$6,908,538 Обс.

No

January 27

$2,498,074 Обс.

No

January 28

$1,950,685 Обс.

No

January 29

$3,064,539 Обс.

No

January 30

$3,469,659 Обс.

No

January 31

$41,754,060 Обс.

No

February 1

$6,629,658 Обс.

No

February 2

$4,246,232 Обс.

No

February 3

$3,763,165 Обс.

No

February 4

$3,844,340 Обс.

No

February 5

$4,461,531 Обс.

No

February 6

$9,750,256 Обс.

No

February 7

$3,615,405 Обс.

No

February 8

$3,821,142 Обс.

No

February 9

$17,561,112 Обс.

No

February 10

$10,496,937 Обс.

No

February 11

$4,493,524 Обс.

No

February 12

$4,187,886 Обс.

No

February 13

$15,146,244 Обс.

No

February 14

$4,140,716 Обс.

No

February 15

$4,542,348 Обс.

No

February 16

$4,855,990 Обс.

No

February 17

$5,599,406 Обс.

No

February 18

$7,408,763 Обс.

No

February 19

$8,798,853 Обс.

No

February 20

$18,810,054 Обс.

No

February 21

$12,250,013 Обс.

No

February 22

$12,611,170 Обс.

No

February 23

$14,022,419 Обс.

No

February 24

$16,942,274 Обс.

No

February 25

$10,517,389 Обс.

No

February 26

$14,489,547 Обс.

No

February 27

$25,087,849 Обс.

No

February 28

$89,652,867 Обс.

Yes

March 1

$8,093,539 Обс.

Yes

March 2

$3,812,922 Обс.

Yes

March 3

$1,917,863 Обс.

Yes

March 4

$1,376,485 Обс.

Yes

March 5

$1,565,799 Обс.

Yes

March 6

$1,008,204 Обс.

Yes

March 7

$2,470,666 Обс.

Yes

March 8

$539,454 Обс.

Yes

March 9

$379,810 Обс.

Yes

March 10

$269,970 Обс.

Yes

March 11

$190,483 Обс.

Yes

March 12

$197,658 Обс.

Yes

March 13

$283,107 Обс.

Yes

March 14

$357,946 Обс.

Yes

March 15

$6,642,886 Обс.

Yes

March 31

$22,213,247 Обс.

Yes

June 30

$9,193,272 Обс.

Yes

December 31

$1,689,785 Обс.

Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between the time of this market's creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes"). Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between the time of this market's creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").

Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.

Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$529,033,417
Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Dec 22, 2025, 11:29 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between the time of this market's creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes"). Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Результат запропоновано: No

Без оскарження

Кінцевий результат: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between the time of this market's creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes"). Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between the time of this market's creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").

Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.

Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$529,033,417
Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Dec 22, 2025, 11:29 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between the time of this market's creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes"). Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Результат запропоновано: No

Без оскарження

Кінцевий результат: No

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«US strikes Iran by...?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 64+ можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «February 28» з 100%, далі «March 1» з 100%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «US strikes Iran by...?» згенерував $529 million загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Dec 22, 2025. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «US strikes Iran by...?», перегляньте 64+ доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «US strikes Iran by...?» — «February 28» з 100%. Наступний — «March 1» з 100%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «US strikes Iran by...?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.