Trader consensus heavily favors Dan Koh at 79.5% implied probability to win the open MA-06 Democratic primary on September 1, driven by his dominant fundraising—over $3.5 million raised and $3 million cash on hand as of late March—and a high-profile endorsement from former President Joe Biden announced May 4, which amplified his momentum from earlier backing by Pete Buttigieg and unions like IBEW Local 2222. In the crowded field of seven qualified candidates including state Rep. Tram Nguyen and John Beccia, Koh's resources and establishment support outpace rivals, while withdrawn hopefuls like Diann Slavit Baylis hold residual odds at 7.7% amid trader caution. Recent candidate forums highlighted federal funding priorities, but no polls exist; late scandals or surges could shift dynamics before the vote.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоDan Koh 80%
Diann Slavit Baylis 5.4%
Tram Nguyen 3.7%
Rachel Creemers 3.4%
$36,551 Обс.
$36,551 Обс.
Dan Koh
80%
Diann Slavit Baylis
5%
Tram Nguyen
4%
Rachel Creemers
3%
Mariah Lancaster
3%
John Beccia
2%
Dominick Pangallo
2%
Kevin Larivee
2%
Jamie Zahlaway Belsito
1%
Seth Moulton
1%
Rick Jakious
1%
Beth Andres-Beck
<1%
Dan Koh 80%
Diann Slavit Baylis 5.4%
Tram Nguyen 3.7%
Rachel Creemers 3.4%
$36,551 Обс.
$36,551 Обс.
Dan Koh
80%
Diann Slavit Baylis
5%
Tram Nguyen
4%
Rachel Creemers
3%
Mariah Lancaster
3%
John Beccia
2%
Dominick Pangallo
2%
Kevin Larivee
2%
Jamie Zahlaway Belsito
1%
Seth Moulton
1%
Rick Jakious
1%
Beth Andres-Beck
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Ринок відкрито: Nov 25, 2025, 3:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Dan Koh at 79.5% implied probability to win the open MA-06 Democratic primary on September 1, driven by his dominant fundraising—over $3.5 million raised and $3 million cash on hand as of late March—and a high-profile endorsement from former President Joe Biden announced May 4, which amplified his momentum from earlier backing by Pete Buttigieg and unions like IBEW Local 2222. In the crowded field of seven qualified candidates including state Rep. Tram Nguyen and John Beccia, Koh's resources and establishment support outpace rivals, while withdrawn hopefuls like Diann Slavit Baylis hold residual odds at 7.7% amid trader caution. Recent candidate forums highlighted federal funding priorities, but no polls exist; late scandals or surges could shift dynamics before the vote.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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