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Політика·Проміжні семестри

IN-07 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for IN-07 Democratic Primary Winner
Політика·Проміжні семестри

IN-07 Democratic Primary Winner

André Carson 98.6%

Denise Paul Hatch 1.1%

George Hornedo <1%

Destiny Scott Wells <1%

Polymarket

$17,910 Обс.

André Carson 98.6%

Denise Paul Hatch 1.1%

George Hornedo <1%

Destiny Scott Wells <1%

Polymarket

$17,910 Обс.

André Carson

$9,340 Обс.

99%

Denise Paul Hatch

$6,442 Обс.

1%

George Hornedo

$1,377 Обс.

<1%

Destiny Scott Wells

$751 Обс.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 5, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. André Carson's entrenched position in Indiana's 7th Congressional District—held since 2008 with consistent primary landslides, including 85% in 2024—drives trader consensus at 98.6% for his May 5 primary victory, reflecting his fundraising dominance ($646,000 cash on hand end-2025) and name recognition over challengers George Hornedo, Destiny Wells, and Denise Paul Hatch. Recent developments, like Wells matching Carson's latest quarter fundraising and both Hornedo and Wells attacking his past silence on data center moratoriums amid AES Indiana donations, have fueled anti-incumbent buzz, but Carson's pivot to endorse a federal pause neutralizes the critique. Realistic challenges include a scandal, major endorsement to a challenger, or unexpected turnout surge in this D+21 district.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 5, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$17,910
Дата завершення
May 5, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Mar 20, 2026, 1:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 5, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 5, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. André Carson's entrenched position in Indiana's 7th Congressional District—held since 2008 with consistent primary landslides, including 85% in 2024—drives trader consensus at 98.6% for his May 5 primary victory, reflecting his fundraising dominance ($646,000 cash on hand end-2025) and name recognition over challengers George Hornedo, Destiny Wells, and Denise Paul Hatch. Recent developments, like Wells matching Carson's latest quarter fundraising and both Hornedo and Wells attacking his past silence on data center moratoriums amid AES Indiana donations, have fueled anti-incumbent buzz, but Carson's pivot to endorse a federal pause neutralizes the critique. Realistic challenges include a scandal, major endorsement to a challenger, or unexpected turnout surge in this D+21 district.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 5, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$17,910
Дата завершення
May 5, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Mar 20, 2026, 1:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 5, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«IN-07 Democratic Primary Winner» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 4 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «André Carson» з 99%, далі «Denise Paul Hatch» з 1%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «IN-07 Democratic Primary Winner» згенерував $17.9K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Mar 20, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «IN-07 Democratic Primary Winner», перегляньте 4 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «IN-07 Democratic Primary Winner» — «André Carson» з 99%. Наступний — «Denise Paul Hatch» з 1%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «IN-07 Democratic Primary Winner» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.