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Вибори·Проміжні семестри

CT-01 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for CT-01 Democratic Primary Winner
Вибори·Проміжні семестри

CT-01 Democratic Primary Winner

Luke Bronin 61%

John Larson 39%

Jillian Gilchrest 2.7%

Ruth Fortune 2.4%

Polymarket

$10,669 Обс.

Luke Bronin 61%

John Larson 39%

Jillian Gilchrest 2.7%

Ruth Fortune 2.4%

Polymarket

$10,669 Обс.

Luke Bronin

$4,274 Обс.

61%

John Larson

$1,500 Обс.

39%

Jillian Gilchrest

$2,239 Обс.

3%

Ruth Fortune

$985 Обс.

2%

Mark Stewart Greenstein

$1,671 Обс.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Luke Bronin holds the lead in trader consensus for the CT-01 Democratic primary following his upset victory over 14-term incumbent John Larson at the May 2026 party convention, where Bronin secured the endorsement on the second ballot by a narrow margin after delegate shifts. This outcome, described as unprecedented in recent Connecticut history, boosted Bronin's positioning amid a four-way primary scheduled for August 11. A post-convention poll showed Bronin ahead, while fundraising reports indicate stronger cash reserves for the former Hartford mayor. Larson continues as a competitive challenger with established support, though the endorsement loss narrowed his path. Minor candidates Ruth Fortune, Jillian Gilchrest, and Mark Stewart Greenstein trail significantly, reflecting limited delegate and early polling strength ahead of the vote.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$10,669
Дата завершення
Aug 11, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Feb 26, 2026, 5:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Luke Bronin holds the lead in trader consensus for the CT-01 Democratic primary following his upset victory over 14-term incumbent John Larson at the May 2026 party convention, where Bronin secured the endorsement on the second ballot by a narrow margin after delegate shifts. This outcome, described as unprecedented in recent Connecticut history, boosted Bronin's positioning amid a four-way primary scheduled for August 11. A post-convention poll showed Bronin ahead, while fundraising reports indicate stronger cash reserves for the former Hartford mayor. Larson continues as a competitive challenger with established support, though the endorsement loss narrowed his path. Minor candidates Ruth Fortune, Jillian Gilchrest, and Mark Stewart Greenstein trail significantly, reflecting limited delegate and early polling strength ahead of the vote.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$10,669
Дата завершення
Aug 11, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Feb 26, 2026, 5:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«CT-01 Democratic Primary Winner» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 5 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Luke Bronin» з 61%, далі «John Larson» з 39%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «CT-01 Democratic Primary Winner» згенерував $10.7K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Feb 26, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «CT-01 Democratic Primary Winner», перегляньте 5 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «CT-01 Democratic Primary Winner» — «Luke Bronin» з 61%. Наступний — «John Larson» з 39%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «CT-01 Democratic Primary Winner» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.