The Democratic National Committee's July 2026 decision to schedule South Carolina's presidential primary first on January 22, 2028, to prioritize the state's large Black electorate has shaped trader views on this early contest. With no declared frontrunner and more than two years until voting, implied probabilities remain low across the field, reflecting a wide-open race where national polling and markets diverge on top contenders. Recent candidate visits, including fundraising by potential entrants testing appeal in the state, underscore the importance of building support among key voting blocs ahead of the primary. Developments such as endorsements from influential figures like Rep. Jim Clyburn or shifts in national polling could create separation among candidates like Kamala Harris and others with varying strength in diverse electorates.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоKamala Harris 13%
Raphael Warnock 13%
Jon Ossoff 11%
J.B. Pritzker 8%
$12,544 Обс.
$12,544 Обс.
Jan 22, 2028
Kamala Harris
13%
Raphael Warnock
13%
Jon Ossoff
11%
J.B. Pritzker
8%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
7%
Jon Stewart
6%
Mark Kelly
6%
Josh Shapiro
5%
Ro Khanna
5%
Cory Booker
5%
Gavin Newsom
5%
Andy Beshear
4%
Wes Moore
4%
Rahm Emanuel
4%
Stephen A. Smith
4%
Michelle Obama
7%
Bernie Sanders
2%
James Talarico
2%
Roy Cooper
1%
Pete Buttigieg
1%
Kamala Harris 13%
Raphael Warnock 13%
Jon Ossoff 11%
J.B. Pritzker 8%
$12,544 Обс.
$12,544 Обс.
Jan 22, 2028
Kamala Harris
$5,814 Обс.
13%
Raphael Warnock
$391 Обс.
13%
Jon Ossoff
$175 Обс.
11%
J.B. Pritzker
$241 Обс.
8%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
$281 Обс.
7%
Jon Stewart
$257 Обс.
6%
Mark Kelly
$536 Обс.
6%
Josh Shapiro
$151 Обс.
5%
Ro Khanna
$156 Обс.
5%
Cory Booker
$372 Обс.
5%
Gavin Newsom
$2,593 Обс.
5%
Andy Beshear
$156 Обс.
4%
Wes Moore
$175 Обс.
4%
Rahm Emanuel
$181 Обс.
4%
Stephen A. Smith
$146 Обс.
4%
Michelle Obama
$121 Обс.
7%
Bernie Sanders
$258 Обс.
2%
James Talarico
$206 Обс.
2%
Roy Cooper
$156 Обс.
1%
Pete Buttigieg
$178 Обс.
1%
South Carolina is expected to hold its Democratic presidential primary for the 2028 presidential election on January 22, 2028.
This market will resolve to the candidate who wins the most votes in the South Carolina Democratic primary, caucus, or other official process by which the public directs the selection of delegates for the 2028 Democratic Convention.
If the relevant delegate selection process is a caucus or other multi-round process, the relevant vote count will be the final round vote count.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If no 2028 South Carolina primary, caucus, or comparable process takes place, or if the results are not definitively known by August 1, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the complete results from the South Carolina Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.The Democratic National Committee's July 2026 decision to schedule South Carolina's presidential primary first on January 22, 2028, to prioritize the state's large Black electorate has shaped trader views on this early contest. With no declared frontrunner and more than two years until voting, implied probabilities remain low across the field, reflecting a wide-open race where national polling and markets diverge on top contenders. Recent candidate visits, including fundraising by potential entrants testing appeal in the state, underscore the importance of building support among key voting blocs ahead of the primary. Developments such as endorsements from influential figures like Rep. Jim Clyburn or shifts in national polling could create separation among candidates like Kamala Harris and others with varying strength in diverse electorates.
South Carolina is expected to hold its Democratic presidential primary for the 2028 presidential election on January 22, 2028.
This market will resolve to the candidate who wins the most votes in the South Carolina Democratic primary, caucus, or other official process by which the public directs the selection of delegates for the 2028 Democratic Convention.
If the relevant delegate selection process is a caucus or other multi-round process, the relevant vote count will be the final round vote count.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If no 2028 South Carolina primary, caucus, or comparable process takes place, or if the results are not definitively known by August 1, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the complete results from the South Carolina Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve to the candidate who wins the most votes in the South Carolina Democratic primary, caucus, or other official process by which the public directs the selection of delegates for the 2028 Democratic Convention.
If the relevant delegate selection process is a caucus or other multi-round process, the relevant vote count will be the final round vote count.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If no 2028 South Carolina primary, caucus, or comparable process takes place, or if the results are not definitively known by August 1, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the complete results from the South Carolina Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 30, 2026, 3:09 PM ET
Обсяг
$12,544Дата завершення
Jan 22, 2028Ринок відкрито
Jul 30, 2026, 3:09 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...South Carolina is expected to hold its Democratic presidential primary for the 2028 presidential election on January 22, 2028.
This market will resolve to the candidate who wins the most votes in the South Carolina Democratic primary, caucus, or other official process by which the public directs the selection of delegates for the 2028 Democratic Convention.
If the relevant delegate selection process is a caucus or other multi-round process, the relevant vote count will be the final round vote count.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If no 2028 South Carolina primary, caucus, or comparable process takes place, or if the results are not definitively known by August 1, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the complete results from the South Carolina Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.The Democratic National Committee's July 2026 decision to schedule South Carolina's presidential primary first on January 22, 2028, to prioritize the state's large Black electorate has shaped trader views on this early contest. With no declared frontrunner and more than two years until voting, implied probabilities remain low across the field, reflecting a wide-open race where national polling and markets diverge on top contenders. Recent candidate visits, including fundraising by potential entrants testing appeal in the state, underscore the importance of building support among key voting blocs ahead of the primary. Developments such as endorsements from influential figures like Rep. Jim Clyburn or shifts in national polling could create separation among candidates like Kamala Harris and others with varying strength in diverse electorates.
South Carolina is expected to hold its Democratic presidential primary for the 2028 presidential election on January 22, 2028.
This market will resolve to the candidate who wins the most votes in the South Carolina Democratic primary, caucus, or other official process by which the public directs the selection of delegates for the 2028 Democratic Convention.
If the relevant delegate selection process is a caucus or other multi-round process, the relevant vote count will be the final round vote count.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If no 2028 South Carolina primary, caucus, or comparable process takes place, or if the results are not definitively known by August 1, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the complete results from the South Carolina Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve to the candidate who wins the most votes in the South Carolina Democratic primary, caucus, or other official process by which the public directs the selection of delegates for the 2028 Democratic Convention.
If the relevant delegate selection process is a caucus or other multi-round process, the relevant vote count will be the final round vote count.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If no 2028 South Carolina primary, caucus, or comparable process takes place, or if the results are not definitively known by August 1, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the complete results from the South Carolina Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Обсяг
$12,544Дата завершення
Jan 22, 2028Ринок відкрито
Jul 30, 2026, 3:09 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The Democratic National Committee's July 2026 decision to schedule South Carolina's presidential primary first on January 22, 2028, to prioritize the state's large Black electorate has shaped trader views on this early contest. With no declared frontrunner and more than two years until voting, implied probabilities remain low across the field, reflecting a wide-open race where national polling and markets diverge on top contenders. Recent candidate visits, including fundraising by potential entrants testing appeal in the state, underscore the importance of building support among key voting blocs ahead of the primary. Developments such as endorsements from influential figures like Rep. Jim Clyburn or shifts in national polling could create separation among candidates like Kamala Harris and others with varying strength in diverse electorates.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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