Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 59.5% to hold Colorado's 4th Congressional District due to its strong GOP partisan lean—rated R+13 by Cook PVI—and incumbent Lauren Boebert's reelection campaign following her 2024 victory. Recent developments tempering these odds include Democrat Trisha Calvarese's April 1 withdrawal from the June 30 primary, clearing the path for well-funded Rear Admiral Eileen Laubacher as the presumptive nominee after she won uncontested ballot access amid March court rulings. Q1 fundraising showed Democratic challengers outraising Republicans, lifting Dem probabilities to 31.5%, while Boebert faces primary rivals Eric Phelan and Eric San Felipe; district fundamentals and incumbency edge sustain GOP leadership ahead of the November general.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоCO-04 House Election Winner
CO-04 House Election Winner
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
60%
Democratic Party
34%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$5,515 Обс.
60%
Democratic Party
$408 Обс.
34%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 59.5% to hold Colorado's 4th Congressional District due to its strong GOP partisan lean—rated R+13 by Cook PVI—and incumbent Lauren Boebert's reelection campaign following her 2024 victory. Recent developments tempering these odds include Democrat Trisha Calvarese's April 1 withdrawal from the June 30 primary, clearing the path for well-funded Rear Admiral Eileen Laubacher as the presumptive nominee after she won uncontested ballot access amid March court rulings. Q1 fundraising showed Democratic challengers outraising Republicans, lifting Dem probabilities to 31.5%, while Boebert faces primary rivals Eric Phelan and Eric San Felipe; district fundamentals and incumbency edge sustain GOP leadership ahead of the November general.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$5,923Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 59.5% to hold Colorado's 4th Congressional District due to its strong GOP partisan lean—rated R+13 by Cook PVI—and incumbent Lauren Boebert's reelection campaign following her 2024 victory. Recent developments tempering these odds include Democrat Trisha Calvarese's April 1 withdrawal from the June 30 primary, clearing the path for well-funded Rear Admiral Eileen Laubacher as the presumptive nominee after she won uncontested ballot access amid March court rulings. Q1 fundraising showed Democratic challengers outraising Republicans, lifting Dem probabilities to 31.5%, while Boebert faces primary rivals Eric Phelan and Eric San Felipe; district fundamentals and incumbency edge sustain GOP leadership ahead of the November general.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$5,923Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 59.5% to hold Colorado's 4th Congressional District due to its strong GOP partisan lean—rated R+13 by Cook PVI—and incumbent Lauren Boebert's reelection campaign following her 2024 victory. Recent developments tempering these odds include Democrat Trisha Calvarese's April 1 withdrawal from the June 30 primary, clearing the path for well-funded Rear Admiral Eileen Laubacher as the presumptive nominee after she won uncontested ballot access amid March court rulings. Q1 fundraising showed Democratic challengers outraising Republicans, lifting Dem probabilities to 31.5%, while Boebert faces primary rivals Eric Phelan and Eric San Felipe; district fundamentals and incumbency edge sustain GOP leadership ahead of the November general.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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