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Політика·палата представників

CA-14 Special Election Winner?

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Політика·палата представників

CA-14 Special Election Winner?

Rakhi Israni Singh 34%

Carin Elam 30%

Melissa Hernandez 24%

Wendy Huang 24%

Polymarket
НОВЕ

Rakhi Israni Singh 34%

Carin Elam 30%

Melissa Hernandez 24%

Wendy Huang 24%

Polymarket
НОВЕ

Aisha Wahab

$42 Обс.

46%

Melissa Hernandez

$1 Обс.

24%

Wendy Huang

$1 Обс.

24%

Carin Elam

$1 Обс.

30%

Matt Ortega

$1 Обс.

29%

Rakhi Israni Singh

$1 Обс.

34%

Victor Aguilar Jr.

$1 Обс.

31%

A special election is scheduled for August 18, 2026 to fill the seat of California’s 14th Congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. This market will resolve according to the winner of this election. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.sos.ca.gov/.Trader consensus in the CA-14 special election reflects a fragmented Democratic field splitting votes in the June 16 top-two primary for the Democratic-leaning East Bay district vacated by Eric Swalwell's recent resignation amid sexual misconduct allegations. San Leandro Councilmember Victor Aguilar Jr. holds a slim edge at 48.5% implied probability, buoyed by local name recognition, while State Sen. Aisha Wahab trails closely at 43.5% with the Democratic Party endorsement and backing from groups like Indivisible East Bay. A April 15 candidate forum highlighted policy contrasts on housing, immigration, and foreign policy among six attendees, including frontrunners, amid failed party efforts to clear the field. Fundraising leader Rakhi Israni Singh and others keep odds bunched near 40-42%; the April 23 filing deadline and impending endorsements could create separation before the August 18 general.

A special election is scheduled for August 18, 2026 to fill the seat of California’s 14th Congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives.

This market will resolve according to the winner of this election.

This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Обсяг
$50
Дата завершення
Aug 18, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Apr 16, 2026, 1:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A special election is scheduled for August 18, 2026 to fill the seat of California’s 14th Congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. This market will resolve according to the winner of this election. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
A special election is scheduled for August 18, 2026 to fill the seat of California’s 14th Congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. This market will resolve according to the winner of this election. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.sos.ca.gov/.Trader consensus in the CA-14 special election reflects a fragmented Democratic field splitting votes in the June 16 top-two primary for the Democratic-leaning East Bay district vacated by Eric Swalwell's recent resignation amid sexual misconduct allegations. San Leandro Councilmember Victor Aguilar Jr. holds a slim edge at 48.5% implied probability, buoyed by local name recognition, while State Sen. Aisha Wahab trails closely at 43.5% with the Democratic Party endorsement and backing from groups like Indivisible East Bay. A April 15 candidate forum highlighted policy contrasts on housing, immigration, and foreign policy among six attendees, including frontrunners, amid failed party efforts to clear the field. Fundraising leader Rakhi Israni Singh and others keep odds bunched near 40-42%; the April 23 filing deadline and impending endorsements could create separation before the August 18 general.

A special election is scheduled for August 18, 2026 to fill the seat of California’s 14th Congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives.

This market will resolve according to the winner of this election.

This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Обсяг
$50
Дата завершення
Aug 18, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Apr 16, 2026, 1:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A special election is scheduled for August 18, 2026 to fill the seat of California’s 14th Congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. This market will resolve according to the winner of this election. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«CA-14 Special Election Winner?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 7 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Aisha Wahab» з 46%, далі «Rakhi Israni Singh» з 34%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«CA-14 Special Election Winner?» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Apr 16, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «CA-14 Special Election Winner?», перегляньте 7 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «CA-14 Special Election Winner?» — «Aisha Wahab» з 46%. Наступний — «Rakhi Israni Singh» з 34%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «CA-14 Special Election Winner?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.