Wyoming's status as the nation's strongest Republican state underpins the 94.5 percent trader consensus for a GOP Senate victory in November 2026. Incumbent Cynthia Lummis's decision not to seek re-election opened an open seat that at-large Representative Harriet Hageman quickly entered as the clear primary favorite ahead of the August 18 contest, backed by endorsements from former President Trump and Senator John Barrasso. Democrats have not won a Wyoming Senate race since the 1970s, and recent cycles have delivered consistent 40-point or larger Republican margins. A late primary upset, unforeseen scandal involving the leading nominee, or an extraordinary national political shift could still narrow the gap, though the state's rural electorate and policy alignment continue to anchor the market's assessment.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWyoming Senate Election Winner

Republican
95%

Democrat
7%

Republican
95%

Democrat
7%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Wyoming's status as the nation's strongest Republican state underpins the 94.5 percent trader consensus for a GOP Senate victory in November 2026. Incumbent Cynthia Lummis's decision not to seek re-election opened an open seat that at-large Representative Harriet Hageman quickly entered as the clear primary favorite ahead of the August 18 contest, backed by endorsements from former President Trump and Senator John Barrasso. Democrats have not won a Wyoming Senate race since the 1970s, and recent cycles have delivered consistent 40-point or larger Republican margins. A late primary upset, unforeseen scandal involving the leading nominee, or an extraordinary national political shift could still narrow the gap, though the state's rural electorate and policy alignment continue to anchor the market's assessment.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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