Trader consensus on 2026 midterm House turnout clusters tightly around 115-130 million votes, implying 45-50% of the voting-eligible population and surpassing 2022's 111 million amid population growth and early enthusiasm signals. Recent Harvard/Harris polling shows 73% of voters planning participation, while April YouGov/Economist generic ballot surveys indicate a narrow Democratic edge among registered voters (44-42%), widening slightly among likely voters—reflecting balanced mobilization efforts in battleground districts. Youth skepticism highlighted in the latest Harvard Youth Poll tempers higher bins, keeping probabilities competitive. Dynamics hinge on enthusiasm gaps, with Republican voter registration gains in states like Arizona and Florida offsetting Democratic leads among definite voters; separation could emerge from summer economic data, approval shifts, or primary turnout trends through June.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว2026 Midterms: House Turnout
2026 Midterms: House Turnout
125-130m 20%
115-120m 18%
110-115m 14%
120-125m 12%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
<85m
5%
85-90m
5%
90-95m
1%
95-100m
2%
100-105m
6%
105-110m
8%
110-115m
14%
115-120m
18%
120-125m
12%
125-130m
20%
130m+
5%
125-130m 20%
115-120m 18%
110-115m 14%
120-125m 12%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
<85m
$319 ปริมาณ
5%
85-90m
$419 ปริมาณ
5%
90-95m
$1,022 ปริมาณ
1%
95-100m
$269 ปริมาณ
2%
100-105m
$782 ปริมาณ
6%
105-110m
$431 ปริมาณ
8%
110-115m
$504 ปริมาณ
14%
115-120m
$1,020 ปริมาณ
18%
120-125m
$371 ปริมาณ
12%
125-130m
$1,194 ปริมาณ
20%
130m+
$245 ปริมาณ
5%
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Trader consensus on 2026 midterm House turnout clusters tightly around 115-130 million votes, implying 45-50% of the voting-eligible population and surpassing 2022's 111 million amid population growth and early enthusiasm signals. Recent Harvard/Harris polling shows 73% of voters planning participation, while April YouGov/Economist generic ballot surveys indicate a narrow Democratic edge among registered voters (44-42%), widening slightly among likely voters—reflecting balanced mobilization efforts in battleground districts. Youth skepticism highlighted in the latest Harvard Youth Poll tempers higher bins, keeping probabilities competitive. Dynamics hinge on enthusiasm gaps, with Republican voter registration gains in states like Arizona and Florida offsetting Democratic leads among definite voters; separation could emerge from summer economic data, approval shifts, or primary turnout trends through June.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,576วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Trader consensus on 2026 midterm House turnout clusters tightly around 115-130 million votes, implying 45-50% of the voting-eligible population and surpassing 2022's 111 million amid population growth and early enthusiasm signals. Recent Harvard/Harris polling shows 73% of voters planning participation, while April YouGov/Economist generic ballot surveys indicate a narrow Democratic edge among registered voters (44-42%), widening slightly among likely voters—reflecting balanced mobilization efforts in battleground districts. Youth skepticism highlighted in the latest Harvard Youth Poll tempers higher bins, keeping probabilities competitive. Dynamics hinge on enthusiasm gaps, with Republican voter registration gains in states like Arizona and Florida offsetting Democratic leads among definite voters; separation could emerge from summer economic data, approval shifts, or primary turnout trends through June.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,576วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on 2026 midterm House turnout clusters tightly around 115-130 million votes, implying 45-50% of the voting-eligible population and surpassing 2022's 111 million amid population growth and early enthusiasm signals. Recent Harvard/Harris polling shows 73% of voters planning participation, while April YouGov/Economist generic ballot surveys indicate a narrow Democratic edge among registered voters (44-42%), widening slightly among likely voters—reflecting balanced mobilization efforts in battleground districts. Youth skepticism highlighted in the latest Harvard Youth Poll tempers higher bins, keeping probabilities competitive. Dynamics hinge on enthusiasm gaps, with Republican voter registration gains in states like Arizona and Florida offsetting Democratic leads among definite voters; separation could emerge from summer economic data, approval shifts, or primary turnout trends through June.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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