Trader consensus for the 2026 House midterm turnout market shows the widest distribution among leading bins, with 130 million-plus votes holding the highest implied probability at 29.5 percent. This positioning stems from expectations that competitive congressional races, early signs of strong voter mobilization by both parties, and ongoing economic conditions could drive participation above recent midterm averages. Key differentiators among the 120-125 million and 115-120 million outcomes include the pace of candidate recruitment, intensity of campaign advertising, and any shifts in presidential approval that typically influence turnout. Scheduled primaries through mid-2026 and potential legislative activity before the general election remain the primary catalysts that could consolidate support behind a narrower range by clarifying levels of voter enthusiasm and engagement.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว2026 Midterms: House Turnout
2026 Midterms: House Turnout
130m+ 26%
115-120m 16%
125-130m 14%
120-125m 12%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
<85m
<1%
85-90m
<1%
90-95m
1%
95-100m
1%
100-105m
1%
105-110m
5%
110-115m
11%
115-120m
16%
120-125m
22%
125-130m
14%
130m+
26%
130m+ 26%
115-120m 16%
125-130m 14%
120-125m 12%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
<85m
$324 ปริมาณ
<1%
85-90m
$419 ปริมาณ
<1%
90-95m
$1,552 ปริมาณ
1%
95-100m
$269 ปริมาณ
1%
100-105m
$791 ปริมาณ
1%
105-110m
$436 ปริมาณ
5%
110-115m
$526 ปริมาณ
11%
115-120m
$1,025 ปริมาณ
16%
120-125m
$408 ปริมาณ
22%
125-130m
$1,204 ปริมาณ
14%
130m+
$318 ปริมาณ
26%
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Trader consensus for the 2026 House midterm turnout market shows the widest distribution among leading bins, with 130 million-plus votes holding the highest implied probability at 29.5 percent. This positioning stems from expectations that competitive congressional races, early signs of strong voter mobilization by both parties, and ongoing economic conditions could drive participation above recent midterm averages. Key differentiators among the 120-125 million and 115-120 million outcomes include the pace of candidate recruitment, intensity of campaign advertising, and any shifts in presidential approval that typically influence turnout. Scheduled primaries through mid-2026 and potential legislative activity before the general election remain the primary catalysts that could consolidate support behind a narrower range by clarifying levels of voter enthusiasm and engagement.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$7,271วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Trader consensus for the 2026 House midterm turnout market shows the widest distribution among leading bins, with 130 million-plus votes holding the highest implied probability at 29.5 percent. This positioning stems from expectations that competitive congressional races, early signs of strong voter mobilization by both parties, and ongoing economic conditions could drive participation above recent midterm averages. Key differentiators among the 120-125 million and 115-120 million outcomes include the pace of candidate recruitment, intensity of campaign advertising, and any shifts in presidential approval that typically influence turnout. Scheduled primaries through mid-2026 and potential legislative activity before the general election remain the primary catalysts that could consolidate support behind a narrower range by clarifying levels of voter enthusiasm and engagement.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$7,271วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus for the 2026 House midterm turnout market shows the widest distribution among leading bins, with 130 million-plus votes holding the highest implied probability at 29.5 percent. This positioning stems from expectations that competitive congressional races, early signs of strong voter mobilization by both parties, and ongoing economic conditions could drive participation above recent midterm averages. Key differentiators among the 120-125 million and 115-120 million outcomes include the pace of candidate recruitment, intensity of campaign advertising, and any shifts in presidential approval that typically influence turnout. Scheduled primaries through mid-2026 and potential legislative activity before the general election remain the primary catalysts that could consolidate support behind a narrower range by clarifying levels of voter enthusiasm and engagement.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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