New York’s 10th congressional district carries a strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in its D+32 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent general-election margins exceeding 30 points in recent cycles. Incumbent Democrat Dan Goldman faces a June 23 primary challenge from Brad Lander, with recent polling showing Lander ahead, yet either nominee will confront only nominal Republican opposition on the November 3 general-election ballot. Low Republican turnout in the urban core and limited organized GOP infrastructure sustain the market’s 94 percent consensus for a Democratic winner. Late-breaking developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unexpected legal issue involving the Democratic nominee remain the primary factors that could realistically alter the outcome before election day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNY-10 House Election Winner
$44,238 ปริมาณ
$44,238 ปริมาณ
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
1%
$44,238 ปริมาณ
$44,238 ปริมาณ
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
1%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...New York’s 10th congressional district carries a strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in its D+32 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent general-election margins exceeding 30 points in recent cycles. Incumbent Democrat Dan Goldman faces a June 23 primary challenge from Brad Lander, with recent polling showing Lander ahead, yet either nominee will confront only nominal Republican opposition on the November 3 general-election ballot. Low Republican turnout in the urban core and limited organized GOP infrastructure sustain the market’s 94 percent consensus for a Democratic winner. Late-breaking developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unexpected legal issue involving the Democratic nominee remain the primary factors that could realistically alter the outcome before election day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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