Incumbent Sen. Tina Smith's February 2025 retirement opened Minnesota's Senate seat, yet trader consensus prices Democrats at 89% due to the state's partisan lean—Kamala Harris won 51% there in 2024—and consistent polling edges for leading contenders Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan and Rep. Angie Craig. Recent Emerson College surveys from February show both Democrats ahead of top Republican Michele Tafoya by 6-7 points among likely voters, with Flanagan leading her party's primary by double digits per multiple polls. Cook Political Report rates it Lean Democratic, citing GOP recruiting struggles amid a crowded primary featuring commentator Tafoya and 2024 nominee Royce White. The August 11 primaries loom as the next catalyst, but Minnesota's DFL dominance in recent statewide races underpins the lopsided odds despite midterm headwinds for the GOP presidential party.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMinnesota Senate Election Winner
Minnesota Senate Election Winner
$22,302 ปริมาณ
$22,302 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
89%
Republican
8%
$22,302 ปริมาณ
$22,302 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
$15,763 ปริมาณ
89%
Republican
$6,539 ปริมาณ
8%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Sen. Tina Smith's February 2025 retirement opened Minnesota's Senate seat, yet trader consensus prices Democrats at 89% due to the state's partisan lean—Kamala Harris won 51% there in 2024—and consistent polling edges for leading contenders Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan and Rep. Angie Craig. Recent Emerson College surveys from February show both Democrats ahead of top Republican Michele Tafoya by 6-7 points among likely voters, with Flanagan leading her party's primary by double digits per multiple polls. Cook Political Report rates it Lean Democratic, citing GOP recruiting struggles amid a crowded primary featuring commentator Tafoya and 2024 nominee Royce White. The August 11 primaries loom as the next catalyst, but Minnesota's DFL dominance in recent statewide races underpins the lopsided odds despite midterm headwinds for the GOP presidential party.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$22,302วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Sen. Tina Smith's February 2025 retirement opened Minnesota's Senate seat, yet trader consensus prices Democrats at 89% due to the state's partisan lean—Kamala Harris won 51% there in 2024—and consistent polling edges for leading contenders Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan and Rep. Angie Craig. Recent Emerson College surveys from February show both Democrats ahead of top Republican Michele Tafoya by 6-7 points among likely voters, with Flanagan leading her party's primary by double digits per multiple polls. Cook Political Report rates it Lean Democratic, citing GOP recruiting struggles amid a crowded primary featuring commentator Tafoya and 2024 nominee Royce White. The August 11 primaries loom as the next catalyst, but Minnesota's DFL dominance in recent statewide races underpins the lopsided odds despite midterm headwinds for the GOP presidential party.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$22,302วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Sen. Tina Smith's February 2025 retirement opened Minnesota's Senate seat, yet trader consensus prices Democrats at 89% due to the state's partisan lean—Kamala Harris won 51% there in 2024—and consistent polling edges for leading contenders Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan and Rep. Angie Craig. Recent Emerson College surveys from February show both Democrats ahead of top Republican Michele Tafoya by 6-7 points among likely voters, with Flanagan leading her party's primary by double digits per multiple polls. Cook Political Report rates it Lean Democratic, citing GOP recruiting struggles amid a crowded primary featuring commentator Tafoya and 2024 nominee Royce White. The August 11 primaries loom as the next catalyst, but Minnesota's DFL dominance in recent statewide races underpins the lopsided odds despite midterm headwinds for the GOP presidential party.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย