The Bureau of Labor Statistics' March 2026 Employment Situation report, released today, confirmed the unemployment rate held steady at 4.3 percent—down slightly from February's 4.4 percent amid a robust 178,000 nonfarm payroll gain that doubled consensus estimates of around 59,000–140,000. This rebound from February's unexpected job losses solidified trader consensus, with Polymarket's implied probability reaching 100 percent on 4.3 percent as capital flowed heavily into the outcome matching official data. Key supports include broad-based hiring in health care, construction, and transportation, alongside a dip in the labor force participation rate. While initial BLS figures rarely face downward revisions, an upward adjustment in subsequent months could theoretically challenge resolution, though markets typically lock in on first prints ahead of the next report on May 8.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMarch Unemployment Rate
March Unemployment Rate
4.3% 100.0%
≤3.9% <1%
4.0% <1%
4.1% <1%
$308,214 ปริมาณ
$308,214 ปริมาณ
Apr 3, 2026
≤3.9%
No
4.0%
No
4.1%
No
4.2%
No
4.3%
Yes
4.4%
No
4.5%
No
4.6%
No
≥4.7%
No
4.3% 100.0%
≤3.9% <1%
4.0% <1%
4.1% <1%
$308,214 ปริมาณ
$308,214 ปริมาณ
Apr 3, 2026
≤3.9%
$32,627 ปริมาณ
No
4.0%
$123,767 ปริมาณ
No
4.1%
$14,016 ปริมาณ
No
4.2%
$22,947 ปริมาณ
No
4.3%
$38,733 ปริมาณ
Yes
4.4%
$15,926 ปริมาณ
No
4.5%
$6,805 ปริมาณ
No
4.6%
$21,528 ปริมาณ
No
≥4.7%
$31,864 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for March 2026.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The relevant data release is scheduled for April 3, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.The Bureau of Labor Statistics' March 2026 Employment Situation report, released today, confirmed the unemployment rate held steady at 4.3 percent—down slightly from February's 4.4 percent amid a robust 178,000 nonfarm payroll gain that doubled consensus estimates of around 59,000–140,000. This rebound from February's unexpected job losses solidified trader consensus, with Polymarket's implied probability reaching 100 percent on 4.3 percent as capital flowed heavily into the outcome matching official data. Key supports include broad-based hiring in health care, construction, and transportation, alongside a dip in the labor force participation rate. While initial BLS figures rarely face downward revisions, an upward adjustment in subsequent months could theoretically challenge resolution, though markets typically lock in on first prints ahead of the next report on May 8.
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for March 2026.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The relevant data release is scheduled for April 3, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The relevant data release is scheduled for April 3, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Feb 13, 2026, 4:58 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$308,214วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 13, 2026, 4:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for March 2026.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The relevant data release is scheduled for April 3, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.The Bureau of Labor Statistics' March 2026 Employment Situation report, released today, confirmed the unemployment rate held steady at 4.3 percent—down slightly from February's 4.4 percent amid a robust 178,000 nonfarm payroll gain that doubled consensus estimates of around 59,000–140,000. This rebound from February's unexpected job losses solidified trader consensus, with Polymarket's implied probability reaching 100 percent on 4.3 percent as capital flowed heavily into the outcome matching official data. Key supports include broad-based hiring in health care, construction, and transportation, alongside a dip in the labor force participation rate. While initial BLS figures rarely face downward revisions, an upward adjustment in subsequent months could theoretically challenge resolution, though markets typically lock in on first prints ahead of the next report on May 8.
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for March 2026.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The relevant data release is scheduled for April 3, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The relevant data release is scheduled for April 3, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$308,214วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 13, 2026, 4:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
The Bureau of Labor Statistics' March 2026 Employment Situation report, released today, confirmed the unemployment rate held steady at 4.3 percent—down slightly from February's 4.4 percent amid a robust 178,000 nonfarm payroll gain that doubled consensus estimates of around 59,000–140,000. This rebound from February's unexpected job losses solidified trader consensus, with Polymarket's implied probability reaching 100 percent on 4.3 percent as capital flowed heavily into the outcome matching official data. Key supports include broad-based hiring in health care, construction, and transportation, alongside a dip in the labor force participation rate. While initial BLS figures rarely face downward revisions, an upward adjustment in subsequent months could theoretically challenge resolution, though markets typically lock in on first prints ahead of the next report on May 8.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย