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icon for 2nd Largest Company end of September?

2nd Largest Company end of September?

icon for 2nd Largest Company end of September?

2nd Largest Company end of September?

Apple 90%

Alphabet 7%

NVIDIA 4%

Microsoft <1%

Polymarket

$76,021 Vol.

Apple 90%

Alphabet 7%

NVIDIA 4%

Microsoft <1%

Polymarket

$76,021 Vol.

icon for Apple

Apple

$19,928 Vol.

90%

icon for Alphabet

Alphabet

$14,277 Vol.

7%

icon for NVIDIA

NVIDIA

$14,894 Vol.

4%

icon for Microsoft

Microsoft

$11,126 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tesla

Tesla

$827 Vol.

<1%

icon for Saudi Aramco

Saudi Aramco

$6,376 Vol.

<1%

icon for Amazon

Amazon

$6,831 Vol.

<1%

icon for Broadcom

Broadcom

$1,081 Vol.

<1%

icon for SpaceX

SpaceX

$681 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Apple's commanding 89.5% implied probability reflects its current lead in market capitalization, supported by consistent hardware sales, expanding services revenue, and a stable consumer electronics ecosystem that has held up amid 2026 tech volatility. Traders view limited near-term risk of displacement by Alphabet, NVIDIA, or Microsoft, whose AI-driven gains have not translated into sufficient valuation shifts over the past month to close the gap before month-end. With resolution just weeks away, sentiment hinges on any final earnings updates or macroeconomic data that could sway share prices, though the market consensus favors continuity in Apple's ranking.

This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30, 2026, as of market close.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$76,021
End Date
Sep 30, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 29, 2026, 6:38 PM ET
This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Apple's commanding 89.5% implied probability reflects its current lead in market capitalization, supported by consistent hardware sales, expanding services revenue, and a stable consumer electronics ecosystem that has held up amid 2026 tech volatility. Traders view limited near-term risk of displacement by Alphabet, NVIDIA, or Microsoft, whose AI-driven gains have not translated into sufficient valuation shifts over the past month to close the gap before month-end. With resolution just weeks away, sentiment hinges on any final earnings updates or macroeconomic data that could sway share prices, though the market consensus favors continuity in Apple's ranking.

This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30, 2026, as of market close.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$76,021
End Date
Sep 30, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 29, 2026, 6:38 PM ET

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Frequently Asked Questions

"2nd Largest Company end of September?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Apple" at 90%, followed by "Alphabet" at 7%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 90¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 90% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2nd Largest Company end of September?" has generated $76K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 29, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2nd Largest Company end of September?," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2nd Largest Company end of September?" is "Apple" at 90%, meaning the market assigns a 90% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alphabet" at 7%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2nd Largest Company end of September?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.