**Trader consensus for a highest temperature of 26°C or higher in Jinan on September 22, 2026, reflects current official forecasts showing a sunny day with expected highs of 30–32°C.** Multiple meteorological models indicate clear skies and light southerly winds under stable high-pressure conditions, consistent with late-summer patterns where regional highs often reach the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius. Historical September averages for Jinan center around 27°C, but recent model runs and real-time observations confirm temperatures well above the 26°C threshold with minimal precipitation risk. This positioning aligns with the wisdom of crowds in prediction markets, where skin-in-the-game incentives favor accurate assessment of near-term weather data. The main scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome involve rapid shifts in steering patterns or unexpected cloud build-up, though current consensus from agencies shows low probability of such changes before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jinan on September 22?
Highest temperature in Jinan on September 22?
26°C or higher 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$1,943 Vol.
$1,943 Vol.
Sep 22, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
100%
26°C or higher 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$1,943 Vol.
$1,943 Vol.
Sep 22, 2026
16°C or below
$13 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$43 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$37 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$37 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$42 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$39 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$55 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$59 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$53 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$101 Vol.
<1%
26°C or higher
$1,464 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus for a highest temperature of 26°C or higher in Jinan on September 22, 2026, reflects current official forecasts showing a sunny day with expected highs of 30–32°C.** Multiple meteorological models indicate clear skies and light southerly winds under stable high-pressure conditions, consistent with late-summer patterns where regional highs often reach the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius. Historical September averages for Jinan center around 27°C, but recent model runs and real-time observations confirm temperatures well above the 26°C threshold with minimal precipitation risk. This positioning aligns with the wisdom of crowds in prediction markets, where skin-in-the-game incentives favor accurate assessment of near-term weather data. The main scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome involve rapid shifts in steering patterns or unexpected cloud build-up, though current consensus from agencies shows low probability of such changes before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 21, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$1,943End Date
Sep 22, 2026Market Opened
Sep 21, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus for a highest temperature of 26°C or higher in Jinan on September 22, 2026, reflects current official forecasts showing a sunny day with expected highs of 30–32°C.** Multiple meteorological models indicate clear skies and light southerly winds under stable high-pressure conditions, consistent with late-summer patterns where regional highs often reach the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius. Historical September averages for Jinan center around 27°C, but recent model runs and real-time observations confirm temperatures well above the 26°C threshold with minimal precipitation risk. This positioning aligns with the wisdom of crowds in prediction markets, where skin-in-the-game incentives favor accurate assessment of near-term weather data. The main scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome involve rapid shifts in steering patterns or unexpected cloud build-up, though current consensus from agencies shows low probability of such changes before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,943End Date
Sep 22, 2026Market Opened
Sep 21, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus for a highest temperature of 26°C or higher in Jinan on September 22, 2026, reflects current official forecasts showing a sunny day with expected highs of 30–32°C.** Multiple meteorological models indicate clear skies and light southerly winds under stable high-pressure conditions, consistent with late-summer patterns where regional highs often reach the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius. Historical September averages for Jinan center around 27°C, but recent model runs and real-time observations confirm temperatures well above the 26°C threshold with minimal precipitation risk. This positioning aligns with the wisdom of crowds in prediction markets, where skin-in-the-game incentives favor accurate assessment of near-term weather data. The main scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome involve rapid shifts in steering patterns or unexpected cloud build-up, though current consensus from agencies shows low probability of such changes before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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