**Ongoing US-Iran military conflict, intensified sanctions, and a naval blockade have sharply curtailed Iranian oil exports and foreign currency inflows, driving the rial to record lows near 2.25–2.27 million per USD in early September.** These pressures, compounded by suspended UAE trade ties, elevated inflation above 40%, and domestic fuel shortages prompting petrol price hikes, have accelerated free-market depreciation. With the rate already exceeding 2.2 million and limited time until the September 30 resolution on Bonbast data, traders assign 88.5% probability to the 2.2M+ bracket as the dominant outcome, reflecting sustained economic isolation and revenue constraints.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedUSD x Iranian rials End of September?
2.2M+ 89%
2.1-2.2M 5.2%
2.0-2.1M 2.3%
1.8-1.9M 1.2%
$30,308 Vol.
$30,308 Vol.
<1.7M
1%
1.7-1.8M
1%
1.8-1.9M
1%
1.9-2.0M
1%
2.0-2.1M
2%
2.1-2.2M
5%
2.2M+
89%
2.2M+ 89%
2.1-2.2M 5.2%
2.0-2.1M 2.3%
1.8-1.9M 1.2%
$30,308 Vol.
$30,308 Vol.
<1.7M
1%
1.7-1.8M
1%
1.8-1.9M
1%
1.9-2.0M
1%
2.0-2.1M
2%
2.1-2.2M
5%
2.2M+
89%
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 6:16 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Ongoing US-Iran military conflict, intensified sanctions, and a naval blockade have sharply curtailed Iranian oil exports and foreign currency inflows, driving the rial to record lows near 2.25–2.27 million per USD in early September.** These pressures, compounded by suspended UAE trade ties, elevated inflation above 40%, and domestic fuel shortages prompting petrol price hikes, have accelerated free-market depreciation. With the rate already exceeding 2.2 million and limited time until the September 30 resolution on Bonbast data, traders assign 88.5% probability to the 2.2M+ bracket as the dominant outcome, reflecting sustained economic isolation and revenue constraints.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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