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Will Noboa win outright in 1st round of Ecuador Election?

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Will Noboa win outright in 1st round of Ecuador Election?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$14,058 Объем

<1% chance
Polymarket

$14,058 Объем

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Ecuador on February 9, 2025. If necessary, a second round will be held on April 13, 2025. To win in the first round outright, one presidential candidate must secure over 50% of the vote, or over 40% of the vote and be 10 points ahead of their nearest rival.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Daniel Noboa wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Ecuadorian Government, specifically the National Electoral Council (https://www.cne.gob.ec/).
Объем
$14,058
Дата окончания
Feb 9, 2025
Открытие рынка
Jan 30, 2025, 5:11 PM ET
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Ecuador on February 9, 2025. If necessary, a second round will be held on April 13, 2025. To win in the first round outright, one presidential candidate must secure over 50% of the vote, or over 40% of the vote and be 10 points ahead of their nearest rival. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Daniel Noboa wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Ecuadorian Government, specifically the National Electoral Council (https://www.cne.gob.ec/).

Предложенный исход: No

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: No

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Ecuador on February 9, 2025. If necessary, a second round will be held on April 13, 2025. To win in the first round outright, one presidential candidate must secure over 50% of the vote, or over 40% of the vote and be 10 points ahead of their nearest rival.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Daniel Noboa wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Ecuadorian Government, specifically the National Electoral Council (https://www.cne.gob.ec/).
Объем
$14,058
Дата окончания
Feb 9, 2025
Открытие рынка
Jan 30, 2025, 5:11 PM ET
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Ecuador on February 9, 2025. If necessary, a second round will be held on April 13, 2025. To win in the first round outright, one presidential candidate must secure over 50% of the vote, or over 40% of the vote and be 10 points ahead of their nearest rival. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Daniel Noboa wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Ecuadorian Government, specifically the National Electoral Council (https://www.cne.gob.ec/).

Предложенный исход: No

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: No

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Noboa win outright in 1st round of Ecuador Election? " is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will Noboa win outright in 1st round of Ecuador Election? " has generated $14.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 30, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will Noboa win outright in 1st round of Ecuador Election? ," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will Noboa win outright in 1st round of Ecuador Election? " is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will Noboa win outright in 1st round of Ecuador Election? " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.