Spain’s prime minister Pedro Sánchez has repeatedly stated his intention to complete the full legislative term, with the next general election due no later than August 2027. Recent regional ballots in 2025 and early 2026 produced setbacks for the PSOE-led minority government and gains for the PP-Vox bloc, yet these outcomes have not triggered dissolution powers or a loss of essential external support sufficient to force an early national vote. Parliamentary weakness, unresolved 2026 budget negotiations, and lingering corruption inquiries continue to generate speculation, but no procedural deadline, successful no-confidence motion, or coalition breakdown has materialized in the past several months. Traders therefore price the absence of an immediate catalyst as the dominant factor keeping the probability of a 2026 snap election below 50 percent.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
$22,381 Объем
$22,381 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
$22,381 Объем
$22,381 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Spain by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament prior to their scheduled election at the end of their parliamentary term.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Spain’s prime minister Pedro Sánchez has repeatedly stated his intention to complete the full legislative term, with the next general election due no later than August 2027. Recent regional ballots in 2025 and early 2026 produced setbacks for the PSOE-led minority government and gains for the PP-Vox bloc, yet these outcomes have not triggered dissolution powers or a loss of essential external support sufficient to force an early national vote. Parliamentary weakness, unresolved 2026 budget negotiations, and lingering corruption inquiries continue to generate speculation, but no procedural deadline, successful no-confidence motion, or coalition breakdown has materialized in the past several months. Traders therefore price the absence of an immediate catalyst as the dominant factor keeping the probability of a 2026 snap election below 50 percent.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Spain by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament prior to their scheduled election at the end of their parliamentary term.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament prior to their scheduled election at the end of their parliamentary term.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Mar 5, 2026, 5:03 PM ET
Объем
$22,381Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 5, 2026, 5:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Spain by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament prior to their scheduled election at the end of their parliamentary term.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Spain’s prime minister Pedro Sánchez has repeatedly stated his intention to complete the full legislative term, with the next general election due no later than August 2027. Recent regional ballots in 2025 and early 2026 produced setbacks for the PSOE-led minority government and gains for the PP-Vox bloc, yet these outcomes have not triggered dissolution powers or a loss of essential external support sufficient to force an early national vote. Parliamentary weakness, unresolved 2026 budget negotiations, and lingering corruption inquiries continue to generate speculation, but no procedural deadline, successful no-confidence motion, or coalition breakdown has materialized in the past several months. Traders therefore price the absence of an immediate catalyst as the dominant factor keeping the probability of a 2026 snap election below 50 percent.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Spain by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament prior to their scheduled election at the end of their parliamentary term.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament prior to their scheduled election at the end of their parliamentary term.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$22,412Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 5, 2026, 5:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Spain’s prime minister Pedro Sánchez has repeatedly stated his intention to complete the full legislative term, with the next general election due no later than August 2027. Recent regional ballots in 2025 and early 2026 produced setbacks for the PSOE-led minority government and gains for the PP-Vox bloc, yet these outcomes have not triggered dissolution powers or a loss of essential external support sufficient to force an early national vote. Parliamentary weakness, unresolved 2026 budget negotiations, and lingering corruption inquiries continue to generate speculation, but no procedural deadline, successful no-confidence motion, or coalition breakdown has materialized in the past several months. Traders therefore price the absence of an immediate catalyst as the dominant factor keeping the probability of a 2026 snap election below 50 percent.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы