Market icon

Израиль нанесет удар по Газе...?

Market icon

Израиль нанесет удар по Газе...?

Ended: Feb 28

Mar 31

Ended: Feb 28

Mar 31

$3,709,365 Объем

Feb 28, 2026
Polymarket

$3,709,365 Объем

Polymarket

1 февраля

$104,111 Объем

Нет

2 февраля

$172,763 Объем

Нет

3 февраля

$78,845 Объем

Нет

4 февраля

$106,795 Объем

Да

5 февраля

$215,004 Объем

Нет

6 февраля

$80,329 Объем

Да

7 февраля

$113,513 Объем

Нет

8 февраля

$24,279 Объем

Да

9 февраля

$239,722 Объем

Да

10 февраля

$765,265 Объем

Да

11 февраля

$145,710 Объем

Нет

12 февраля

$124,627 Объем

Да

13 февраля

$174,728 Объем

Нет

14 февраля

$163,291 Объем

Да

15 февраля

$132,043 Объем

Да

16 февраля

$217,340 Объем

Нет

17 февраля

$183,330 Объем

Да

18 февраля

$57,329 Объем

Нет

19 февраля

$62,688 Объем

Нет

20 февраля

$37,492 Объем

Да

21 февраля

$108,519 Объем

Нет

22 февраля

$82,726 Объем

Нет

23 февраля

$46,645 Объем

Нет

24 февраля

$44,213 Объем

Нет

25 февраля

$67,751 Объем

Нет

26 февраля

$49,753 Объем

Да

27 февраля

$57,905 Объем

Да

28 февраля

$52,652 Объем

Нет

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Gaza soil on the listed date Israel Standard Time (IST). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Gaza ground territory.

A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip counts, including buffer zones.

Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Gaza territory or cause damage.

Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.

The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Israeli or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.

If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Объем
$3,709,365
Дата окончания
Feb 28, 2026
Открытие рынка
Jan 27, 2026, 3:51 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Gaza soil on the listed date Israel Standard Time (IST). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Gaza ground territory. A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip counts, including buffer zones. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Gaza territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Israeli or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers. If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.

Предложенный исход: Да

Оспаривается

Предложенный исход: Да

Оспаривается

Окончательный исход: Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Израиль нанесет удар по Газе...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 28 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "4 февраля" at 100%, followed by "6 февраля" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Израиль нанесет удар по Газе...?" has generated $3.7 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 27, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Израиль нанесет удар по Газе...?," browse the 28 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Израиль нанесет удар по Газе...?" is "4 февраля" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "6 февраля" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Израиль нанесет удар по Газе...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.