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Will California pass SB 1047 AI safety bill?

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Will California pass SB 1047 AI safety bill?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$433,445 Объем

<1% chance
Polymarket

$433,445 Объем

California's SB 1047 AI safety bill is currently being debated in the state assembly. Legislators have until August 31 to pass it, and if approved, the Governor has until September 30 to sign it into law.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if SB 1047 AI safety bill becomes law by September 30, 2024, 11:59 PM PT. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If the bill does not pass the state assembly by the end of their legislative session on August 31, this market will resolve to "No".

Note that if the Governor vetoes the bill, the market will stay open until September 30 to allow for any potential overriding of the veto.

If the bill doesn't pass by September 30, 2024, 11:59 PM PT this market will resolve to "No."
Объем
$433,445
Дата окончания
Sep 30, 2024
Открытие рынка
Aug 26, 2024, 10:23 PM ET
California's SB 1047 AI safety bill is currently being debated in the state assembly. Legislators have until August 31 to pass it, and if approved, the Governor has until September 30 to sign it into law. This market will resolve to "Yes" if SB 1047 AI safety bill becomes law by September 30, 2024, 11:59 PM PT. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the bill does not pass the state assembly by the end of their legislative session on August 31, this market will resolve to "No". Note that if the Governor vetoes the bill, the market will stay open until September 30 to allow for any potential overriding of the veto. If the bill doesn't pass by September 30, 2024, 11:59 PM PT this market will resolve to "No."

Предложенный исход: No

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: No

California's SB 1047 AI safety bill is currently being debated in the state assembly. Legislators have until August 31 to pass it, and if approved, the Governor has until September 30 to sign it into law.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if SB 1047 AI safety bill becomes law by September 30, 2024, 11:59 PM PT. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If the bill does not pass the state assembly by the end of their legislative session on August 31, this market will resolve to "No".

Note that if the Governor vetoes the bill, the market will stay open until September 30 to allow for any potential overriding of the veto.

If the bill doesn't pass by September 30, 2024, 11:59 PM PT this market will resolve to "No."
Объем
$433,445
Дата окончания
Sep 30, 2024
Открытие рынка
Aug 26, 2024, 10:23 PM ET
California's SB 1047 AI safety bill is currently being debated in the state assembly. Legislators have until August 31 to pass it, and if approved, the Governor has until September 30 to sign it into law. This market will resolve to "Yes" if SB 1047 AI safety bill becomes law by September 30, 2024, 11:59 PM PT. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the bill does not pass the state assembly by the end of their legislative session on August 31, this market will resolve to "No". Note that if the Governor vetoes the bill, the market will stay open until September 30 to allow for any potential overriding of the veto. If the bill doesn't pass by September 30, 2024, 11:59 PM PT this market will resolve to "No."

Предложенный исход: No

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will California pass SB 1047 AI safety bill?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will California pass SB 1047 AI safety bill?" has generated $433.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 27, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will California pass SB 1047 AI safety bill?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will California pass SB 1047 AI safety bill?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will California pass SB 1047 AI safety bill?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.