Despite the Department of Justice's release of over 3.5 million pages, 2,000 videos, and 180,000 images from its Jeffrey Epstein investigation files in late January 2026—pursuant to the Epstein Files Transparency Act signed in November 2025—no new indictments, trials, or imprisonments have resulted in the US as of mid-April. International fallout includes the February arrest of former UK diplomat Peter Mandelson, who was released on bail pending investigation, alongside resignations such as Harvard president Larry Summers and scrutiny of figures like Bill Gates. Absent charges from prosecutors despite naming high-profile associates, traders price an 85.5% implied probability of "No" jailings by the market's December 31, 2026 resolution, reflecting institutional barriers to new prosecutions.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
$287,856 Объем
$287,856 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
$287,856 Объем
$287,856 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, any individual serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison, and the cause of that incarceration is attributed to information contained in files related to Jeffrey Epstein released by the federal government on or after December 19, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
A qualifying incarceration must be caused by information included in Epstein-related files released on or after December 19, 2025. The cause of incarceration may be established through official charging documents, court rulings, sentencing statements, or through a clear consensus of credible reporting attributing the incarceration to information contained in those released files. Incarceration driven by information that was publicly known before December 19, 2025, or by reasons unrelated to the content of the released Epstein-related files, will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be official court records or government statements, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Despite the Department of Justice's release of over 3.5 million pages, 2,000 videos, and 180,000 images from its Jeffrey Epstein investigation files in late January 2026—pursuant to the Epstein Files Transparency Act signed in November 2025—no new indictments, trials, or imprisonments have resulted in the US as of mid-April. International fallout includes the February arrest of former UK diplomat Peter Mandelson, who was released on bail pending investigation, alongside resignations such as Harvard president Larry Summers and scrutiny of figures like Bill Gates. Absent charges from prosecutors despite naming high-profile associates, traders price an 85.5% implied probability of "No" jailings by the market's December 31, 2026 resolution, reflecting institutional barriers to new prosecutions.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, any individual serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison, and the cause of that incarceration is attributed to information contained in files related to Jeffrey Epstein released by the federal government on or after December 19, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
A qualifying incarceration must be caused by information included in Epstein-related files released on or after December 19, 2025. The cause of incarceration may be established through official charging documents, court rulings, sentencing statements, or through a clear consensus of credible reporting attributing the incarceration to information contained in those released files. Incarceration driven by information that was publicly known before December 19, 2025, or by reasons unrelated to the content of the released Epstein-related files, will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be official court records or government statements, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying incarceration must be caused by information included in Epstein-related files released on or after December 19, 2025. The cause of incarceration may be established through official charging documents, court rulings, sentencing statements, or through a clear consensus of credible reporting attributing the incarceration to information contained in those released files. Incarceration driven by information that was publicly known before December 19, 2025, or by reasons unrelated to the content of the released Epstein-related files, will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be official court records or government statements, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Feb 1, 2026, 10:38 PM ET
Объем
$287,856Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 1, 2026, 10:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, any individual serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison, and the cause of that incarceration is attributed to information contained in files related to Jeffrey Epstein released by the federal government on or after December 19, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
A qualifying incarceration must be caused by information included in Epstein-related files released on or after December 19, 2025. The cause of incarceration may be established through official charging documents, court rulings, sentencing statements, or through a clear consensus of credible reporting attributing the incarceration to information contained in those released files. Incarceration driven by information that was publicly known before December 19, 2025, or by reasons unrelated to the content of the released Epstein-related files, will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be official court records or government statements, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Despite the Department of Justice's release of over 3.5 million pages, 2,000 videos, and 180,000 images from its Jeffrey Epstein investigation files in late January 2026—pursuant to the Epstein Files Transparency Act signed in November 2025—no new indictments, trials, or imprisonments have resulted in the US as of mid-April. International fallout includes the February arrest of former UK diplomat Peter Mandelson, who was released on bail pending investigation, alongside resignations such as Harvard president Larry Summers and scrutiny of figures like Bill Gates. Absent charges from prosecutors despite naming high-profile associates, traders price an 85.5% implied probability of "No" jailings by the market's December 31, 2026 resolution, reflecting institutional barriers to new prosecutions.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, any individual serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison, and the cause of that incarceration is attributed to information contained in files related to Jeffrey Epstein released by the federal government on or after December 19, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
A qualifying incarceration must be caused by information included in Epstein-related files released on or after December 19, 2025. The cause of incarceration may be established through official charging documents, court rulings, sentencing statements, or through a clear consensus of credible reporting attributing the incarceration to information contained in those released files. Incarceration driven by information that was publicly known before December 19, 2025, or by reasons unrelated to the content of the released Epstein-related files, will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be official court records or government statements, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying incarceration must be caused by information included in Epstein-related files released on or after December 19, 2025. The cause of incarceration may be established through official charging documents, court rulings, sentencing statements, or through a clear consensus of credible reporting attributing the incarceration to information contained in those released files. Incarceration driven by information that was publicly known before December 19, 2025, or by reasons unrelated to the content of the released Epstein-related files, will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be official court records or government statements, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$287,856Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 1, 2026, 10:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Despite the Department of Justice's release of over 3.5 million pages, 2,000 videos, and 180,000 images from its Jeffrey Epstein investigation files in late January 2026—pursuant to the Epstein Files Transparency Act signed in November 2025—no new indictments, trials, or imprisonments have resulted in the US as of mid-April. International fallout includes the February arrest of former UK diplomat Peter Mandelson, who was released on bail pending investigation, alongside resignations such as Harvard president Larry Summers and scrutiny of figures like Bill Gates. Absent charges from prosecutors despite naming high-profile associates, traders price an 85.5% implied probability of "No" jailings by the market's December 31, 2026 resolution, reflecting institutional barriers to new prosecutions.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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