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Кто пройдет во второй тур президентских выборов в Португалии?

Market icon

Кто пройдет во второй тур президентских выборов в Португалии?

$2,232,770 Объем

Jan 18, 2026
Polymarket

$2,232,770 Объем

Polymarket
Market icon

Жуау Котрим де Фигейреду

$692,386 Объем

Нет

Market icon

Жоана Амарал Диаш (ADN)

$33,505 Объем

Нет

Market icon

Андре Вентура (CH)

$519,006 Объем

Да

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Аристидеш Тейшейра (БН)

$1,931 Объем

Нет

Market icon

Луиш Маркес Мендеш (ПСД)

$450,366 Объем

Нет

Market icon

Энрике Гувея э Мело (Независимый)

$142,978 Объем

Нет

Market icon

Виторино Силва (БНЗ)

$2,203 Объем

Нет

Market icon

Антониу Фелипе (ПКП)

$3,984 Объем

Нет

Market icon

Жозе Кардозу (ПЛС)

$2,305 Объем

Нет

Market icon

Жорже Пинту

$4,909 Объем

Нет

Market icon

Тим Виейра (БН)

$1,610 Объем

Нет

Market icon

Андре Пестана (БНЗ)

$4,687 Объем

Нет

Market icon

Орландо Круз (БНЗ)

$2,114 Объем

Нет

Market icon

Мануэла Магну (БНП)

$3,235 Объем

Нет

Market icon

Педру Тиноку де Фария (БНС)

$1,063 Объем

Нет

Market icon

Антониу Жозе Сегуру (БНЗ)

$303,956 Объем

Да

Market icon

Ângela Maryah (БНП)

$1,518 Объем

Нет

Market icon

Раул Перестрело (Независимый)

$3,210 Объем

Нет

Market icon

Педру Пашуш Коэлью (СДП)

$535 Объем

Нет

Market icon

Катарина Мартинс

$11,020 Объем

Нет

Market icon

Умберту Коррейя

$15,692 Объем

Нет

Market icon

Мануэл Жуан Виейра

$30,557 Объем

Нет

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on 18 or 25 January 2026, with a possible second round on 8 or 15 February 2026. A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. The two candidates with the greatest number of votes in the first round will advance to the second round.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidates that qualify for the second round of this election.

If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".

If a candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (https://www.cne.pt/).
Объем
$2,232,770
Дата окончания
Jan 18, 2026
Открытие рынка
Nov 26, 2025, 10:42 AM ET
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on 18 or 25 January 2026, with a possible second round on 8 or 15 February 2026. A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. The two candidates with the greatest number of votes in the first round will advance to the second round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidates that qualify for the second round of this election. If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No". If a candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (https://www.cne.pt/).

Предложенный исход: Нет

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Нет

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Кто пройдет во второй тур президентских выборов в Португалии?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 22 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Андре Вентура (CH)" at 100%, followed by "Антониу Жозе Сегуру (БНЗ)" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Кто пройдет во второй тур президентских выборов в Португалии?" has generated $2.2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 26, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Кто пройдет во второй тур президентских выборов в Португалии?," browse the 22 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Кто пройдет во второй тур президентских выборов в Португалии?" is "Андре Вентура (CH)" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Антониу Жозе Сегуру (БНЗ)" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Кто пройдет во второй тур президентских выборов в Португалии?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.