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Политика·Big Tech

Кто закроет сделку по приобретению Warner Bros.?

Market icon
Политика·Big Tech

Кто закроет сделку по приобретению Warner Bros.?

Paramount 81%

Никто до 30 июня 2027 года 18%

Netflix <1%

Comcast <1%

Polymarket

$972,753 Объем

Paramount 81%

Никто до 30 июня 2027 года 18%

Netflix <1%

Comcast <1%

Polymarket

$972,753 Объем

Paramount

$434,035 Объем

81%

Никто до 30 июня 2027 года

$153,526 Объем

18%

Netflix

$213,554 Объем

<1%

Comcast

$171,639 Объем

<1%

This market will resolve according to the first entity that acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Transactions that involve only Warner Bros. Discovery's linear television networks, news channels, or other non-studio, non-streaming assets, without also transferring control of its studios and streaming businesses, will not qualify. Announcements of non-finalized arrangements — including, the currently announced Netflix agreement to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery’s studios and streaming businesses — will not qualify. If no entity acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "None by June 30 2027". Resolution will be based on by a consensus of reporting.Trader consensus heavily favors Paramount at 80.5% to close the Warner Bros. Discovery acquisition following Netflix's withdrawal from the bidding war in late February 2026, after Paramount's competing Skydance-backed offer emerged. Paramount detailed merger plans on March 2, including combining HBO Max and Paramount+ into a unified streaming service, $6 billion in cost cuts amid $79 billion in projected debt, and maintained theatrical windows, bolstering synergies and shareholder value. Low probabilities for Netflix (0.4%) and Comcast (0.2%) reflect their minimal involvement, while "None by June 30, 2027" at 17.5% accounts for antitrust scrutiny from DOJ and FCC approvals, plus shareholder votes expected in Q3 2026. Recent reports of potential FCC backing have further solidified Paramount's lead.

This market will resolve according to the first entity that acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

Transactions that involve only Warner Bros. Discovery's linear television networks, news channels, or other non-studio, non-streaming assets, without also transferring control of its studios and streaming businesses, will not qualify.

Announcements of non-finalized arrangements — including, the currently announced Netflix agreement to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery’s studios and streaming businesses — will not qualify.

If no entity acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "None by June 30 2027".

Resolution will be based on by a consensus of reporting.
Объем
$972,753
Дата окончания
30 июн. 2027 г.
Открытие рынка
Dec 8, 2025, 1:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the first entity that acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Transactions that involve only Warner Bros. Discovery's linear television networks, news channels, or other non-studio, non-streaming assets, without also transferring control of its studios and streaming businesses, will not qualify. Announcements of non-finalized arrangements — including, the currently announced Netflix agreement to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery’s studios and streaming businesses — will not qualify. If no entity acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "None by June 30 2027". Resolution will be based on by a consensus of reporting.
This market will resolve according to the first entity that acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Transactions that involve only Warner Bros. Discovery's linear television networks, news channels, or other non-studio, non-streaming assets, without also transferring control of its studios and streaming businesses, will not qualify. Announcements of non-finalized arrangements — including, the currently announced Netflix agreement to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery’s studios and streaming businesses — will not qualify. If no entity acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "None by June 30 2027". Resolution will be based on by a consensus of reporting.Trader consensus heavily favors Paramount at 80.5% to close the Warner Bros. Discovery acquisition following Netflix's withdrawal from the bidding war in late February 2026, after Paramount's competing Skydance-backed offer emerged. Paramount detailed merger plans on March 2, including combining HBO Max and Paramount+ into a unified streaming service, $6 billion in cost cuts amid $79 billion in projected debt, and maintained theatrical windows, bolstering synergies and shareholder value. Low probabilities for Netflix (0.4%) and Comcast (0.2%) reflect their minimal involvement, while "None by June 30, 2027" at 17.5% accounts for antitrust scrutiny from DOJ and FCC approvals, plus shareholder votes expected in Q3 2026. Recent reports of potential FCC backing have further solidified Paramount's lead.

This market will resolve according to the first entity that acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

Transactions that involve only Warner Bros. Discovery's linear television networks, news channels, or other non-studio, non-streaming assets, without also transferring control of its studios and streaming businesses, will not qualify.

Announcements of non-finalized arrangements — including, the currently announced Netflix agreement to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery’s studios and streaming businesses — will not qualify.

If no entity acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "None by June 30 2027".

Resolution will be based on by a consensus of reporting.
Объем
$972,753
Дата окончания
30 июн. 2027 г.
Открытие рынка
Dec 8, 2025, 1:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the first entity that acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Transactions that involve only Warner Bros. Discovery's linear television networks, news channels, or other non-studio, non-streaming assets, without also transferring control of its studios and streaming businesses, will not qualify. Announcements of non-finalized arrangements — including, the currently announced Netflix agreement to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery’s studios and streaming businesses — will not qualify. If no entity acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "None by June 30 2027". Resolution will be based on by a consensus of reporting.

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Кто закроет сделку по приобретению Warner Bros.?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 4 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Paramount» с 81%, за ним следует «Никто до 30 июня 2027 года» с 18%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 81¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 81%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Кто закроет сделку по приобретению Warner Bros.?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $972.8K с момента запуска рынка Dec 8, 2025. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Кто закроет сделку по приобретению Warner Bros.?», просмотри 4 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Кто закроет сделку по приобретению Warner Bros.?» — «Paramount» с 81%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 81%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Никто до 30 июня 2027 года» с 18%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Кто закроет сделку по приобретению Warner Bros.?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.