Which countries will the U.S. agree to tariff agreements with in October?
Which countries will the U.S. agree to tariff agreements with in October?
$635,045 Объем
31 окт. 2025 г.

China
Yes

Brazil
No

Australia
No

Canada
No

Israel
No

France
No

South Korea
Yes

India
No

Argentina
No

Germany
No

Mexico
Yes

Switzerland
No
$635,045 Объем

China
$221,859 Объем
Yes

Brazil
$29,667 Объем
No

Australia
$10,343 Объем
No

Canada
$24,111 Объем
No

Israel
$8,903 Объем
No

France
$13,445 Объем
No

South Korea
$219,051 Объем
Yes

India
$27,806 Объем
No

Argentina
$17,414 Объем
No

Germany
$18,857 Объем
No

Mexico
$33,009 Объем
Yes

Switzerland
$10,581 Объем
No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and the listed country/entity between October 1, and October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements to extend tariff exemptions will qualify if announced as an individualized extension. However, tariff exemptions which are announced as part of a class of exemptions and do not reflect individual deals - such as Trump’s April 9 pause on all reciprocal tariffs other than those on China - will not qualify (see: https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/04/modifying-reciprocal-tariff-rates-to-reflect-trading-partner-retaliation-and-alignment/).
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
Agreements that include the United States and the listed country/entity as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and the listed country/entity between October 1, and October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements to extend tariff exemptions will qualify if announced as an individualized extension. However, tariff exemptions which are announced as part of a class of exemptions and do not reflect individual deals - such as Trump’s April 9 pause on all reciprocal tariffs other than those on China - will not qualify (see: https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/04/modifying-reciprocal-tariff-rates-to-reflect-trading-partner-retaliation-and-alignment/).
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
Agreements that include the United States and the listed country/entity as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements to extend tariff exemptions will qualify if announced as an individualized extension. However, tariff exemptions which are announced as part of a class of exemptions and do not reflect individual deals - such as Trump’s April 9 pause on all reciprocal tariffs other than those on China - will not qualify (see: https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/04/modifying-reciprocal-tariff-rates-to-reflect-trading-partner-retaliation-and-alignment/).
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
Agreements that include the United States and the listed country/entity as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached.
Открытие рынка: Oct 1, 2025, 2:41 PM ET
Объем
$635,045Дата окончания
31 окт. 2025 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 1, 2025, 2:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Предложенный исход: Yes
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and the listed country/entity between October 1, and October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements to extend tariff exemptions will qualify if announced as an individualized extension. However, tariff exemptions which are announced as part of a class of exemptions and do not reflect individual deals - such as Trump’s April 9 pause on all reciprocal tariffs other than those on China - will not qualify (see: https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/04/modifying-reciprocal-tariff-rates-to-reflect-trading-partner-retaliation-and-alignment/).
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
Agreements that include the United States and the listed country/entity as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and the listed country/entity between October 1, and October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements to extend tariff exemptions will qualify if announced as an individualized extension. However, tariff exemptions which are announced as part of a class of exemptions and do not reflect individual deals - such as Trump’s April 9 pause on all reciprocal tariffs other than those on China - will not qualify (see: https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/04/modifying-reciprocal-tariff-rates-to-reflect-trading-partner-retaliation-and-alignment/).
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
Agreements that include the United States and the listed country/entity as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements to extend tariff exemptions will qualify if announced as an individualized extension. However, tariff exemptions which are announced as part of a class of exemptions and do not reflect individual deals - such as Trump’s April 9 pause on all reciprocal tariffs other than those on China - will not qualify (see: https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/04/modifying-reciprocal-tariff-rates-to-reflect-trading-partner-retaliation-and-alignment/).
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
Agreements that include the United States and the listed country/entity as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached.
Объем
$635,045Дата окончания
31 окт. 2025 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 1, 2025, 2:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Предложенный исход: Yes
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Yes

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