Market icon

США наносят удар по Ирану...?

Feb 28

Jun 30

$165,378,478 Объем

Jan 31, 2026

Правила

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between the time of this market's creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").

Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.

Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$165,378,478
Дата окончания
Jun 30, 2026
Дата создания
Feb 2, 2026, 12:45 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between the time of this market's creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes"). Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Market icon

США наносят удар по Ирану...?

Feb 28

Jun 30

$165,378,478 Объем

3 февраля

$3,342,715 Объем

<1%

4 февраля

$1,141,079 Объем

1%

5 февраля

$1,180,186 Объем

1%

6 февраля

$4,361,765 Объем

2%

13 февраля

$2,937,225 Объем

10%

20 февраля

$180,329 Объем

15%

28 февраля

$7,333,254 Объем

24%

31 марта

$5,700,444 Объем

37%

30 июня

$3,242,449 Объем

48%

О нас

Объем
$165,378,478
Дата окончания
Jun 30, 2026
Дата создания
Feb 2, 2026, 12:45 PM ET

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.