Trader consensus prices a 75.5% implied probability against OpenAI completing a $1 trillion-plus initial public offering before 2027, driven by the AI lab's recent $122 billion funding round closed April 1 at an $852 billion post-money valuation—Silicon Valley's largest ever—yet revealing stark cash burn exceeding $19 billion annually against $25 billion projected 2026 revenue. Persistent unprofitability until at least 2030, lofty 28x forward revenue multiples, and competition from Anthropic's surging Claude models fuel skepticism, despite earlier reports of H2 2026 IPO groundwork including investor relations hires. No S-1 filing has surfaced, with Q4 2026 as the earliest window; watch for profitability updates or regulatory shifts on AI infrastructure to sway sentiment.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоOpenAI $ 1t+ IPO до 2027 года?
OpenAI $ 1t+ IPO до 2027 года?
Да
$243,653 Объем
$243,653 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
$243,653 Объем
$243,653 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI completes an initial public offering (IPO) valued at $1 trillion USD or higher at the time of the IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”
An “initial public offering (IPO)” refers to the first sale of OpenAI’s equity securities to the public through a regulated stock exchange.
OpenAI will be considered to have achieved a $1 trillion valuation if the market capitalization implied by the IPO offering price multiplied by the total number of outstanding shares equals or exceeds $1 trillion USD.
Announcements, filings, or planned IPOs that do not result in public trading by that time will not qualify. Private funding rounds, secondary share sales, or employee-share transactions will not be considered. A direct listing or merger via SPAC will qualify only if it results in OpenAI’s common shares becoming publicly traded for the first time on a major exchange.
If OpenAI’s IPO is priced before the resolution deadline but public trading has not yet commenced, the market may remain open for up to 30 calendar days to determine whether the IPO is completed.
If OpenAI is acquired, dissolved, or merged into another entity before an IPO occurs, this market will resolve to “No.” In the event of a restructuring, the market will resolve based on the entity legally recognized as OpenAI’s successor will
The resolution source will be a consensus for credible reporting.Trader consensus prices a 75.5% implied probability against OpenAI completing a $1 trillion-plus initial public offering before 2027, driven by the AI lab's recent $122 billion funding round closed April 1 at an $852 billion post-money valuation—Silicon Valley's largest ever—yet revealing stark cash burn exceeding $19 billion annually against $25 billion projected 2026 revenue. Persistent unprofitability until at least 2030, lofty 28x forward revenue multiples, and competition from Anthropic's surging Claude models fuel skepticism, despite earlier reports of H2 2026 IPO groundwork including investor relations hires. No S-1 filing has surfaced, with Q4 2026 as the earliest window; watch for profitability updates or regulatory shifts on AI infrastructure to sway sentiment.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI completes an initial public offering (IPO) valued at $1 trillion USD or higher at the time of the IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”
An “initial public offering (IPO)” refers to the first sale of OpenAI’s equity securities to the public through a regulated stock exchange.
OpenAI will be considered to have achieved a $1 trillion valuation if the market capitalization implied by the IPO offering price multiplied by the total number of outstanding shares equals or exceeds $1 trillion USD.
Announcements, filings, or planned IPOs that do not result in public trading by that time will not qualify. Private funding rounds, secondary share sales, or employee-share transactions will not be considered. A direct listing or merger via SPAC will qualify only if it results in OpenAI’s common shares becoming publicly traded for the first time on a major exchange.
If OpenAI’s IPO is priced before the resolution deadline but public trading has not yet commenced, the market may remain open for up to 30 calendar days to determine whether the IPO is completed.
If OpenAI is acquired, dissolved, or merged into another entity before an IPO occurs, this market will resolve to “No.” In the event of a restructuring, the market will resolve based on the entity legally recognized as OpenAI’s successor will
The resolution source will be a consensus for credible reporting.
An “initial public offering (IPO)” refers to the first sale of OpenAI’s equity securities to the public through a regulated stock exchange.
OpenAI will be considered to have achieved a $1 trillion valuation if the market capitalization implied by the IPO offering price multiplied by the total number of outstanding shares equals or exceeds $1 trillion USD.
Announcements, filings, or planned IPOs that do not result in public trading by that time will not qualify. Private funding rounds, secondary share sales, or employee-share transactions will not be considered. A direct listing or merger via SPAC will qualify only if it results in OpenAI’s common shares becoming publicly traded for the first time on a major exchange.
If OpenAI’s IPO is priced before the resolution deadline but public trading has not yet commenced, the market may remain open for up to 30 calendar days to determine whether the IPO is completed.
If OpenAI is acquired, dissolved, or merged into another entity before an IPO occurs, this market will resolve to “No.” In the event of a restructuring, the market will resolve based on the entity legally recognized as OpenAI’s successor will
The resolution source will be a consensus for credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Oct 29, 2025, 8:29 PM ET
Объем
$243,653Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 29, 2025, 8:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI completes an initial public offering (IPO) valued at $1 trillion USD or higher at the time of the IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”
An “initial public offering (IPO)” refers to the first sale of OpenAI’s equity securities to the public through a regulated stock exchange.
OpenAI will be considered to have achieved a $1 trillion valuation if the market capitalization implied by the IPO offering price multiplied by the total number of outstanding shares equals or exceeds $1 trillion USD.
Announcements, filings, or planned IPOs that do not result in public trading by that time will not qualify. Private funding rounds, secondary share sales, or employee-share transactions will not be considered. A direct listing or merger via SPAC will qualify only if it results in OpenAI’s common shares becoming publicly traded for the first time on a major exchange.
If OpenAI’s IPO is priced before the resolution deadline but public trading has not yet commenced, the market may remain open for up to 30 calendar days to determine whether the IPO is completed.
If OpenAI is acquired, dissolved, or merged into another entity before an IPO occurs, this market will resolve to “No.” In the event of a restructuring, the market will resolve based on the entity legally recognized as OpenAI’s successor will
The resolution source will be a consensus for credible reporting.Trader consensus prices a 75.5% implied probability against OpenAI completing a $1 trillion-plus initial public offering before 2027, driven by the AI lab's recent $122 billion funding round closed April 1 at an $852 billion post-money valuation—Silicon Valley's largest ever—yet revealing stark cash burn exceeding $19 billion annually against $25 billion projected 2026 revenue. Persistent unprofitability until at least 2030, lofty 28x forward revenue multiples, and competition from Anthropic's surging Claude models fuel skepticism, despite earlier reports of H2 2026 IPO groundwork including investor relations hires. No S-1 filing has surfaced, with Q4 2026 as the earliest window; watch for profitability updates or regulatory shifts on AI infrastructure to sway sentiment.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI completes an initial public offering (IPO) valued at $1 trillion USD or higher at the time of the IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”
An “initial public offering (IPO)” refers to the first sale of OpenAI’s equity securities to the public through a regulated stock exchange.
OpenAI will be considered to have achieved a $1 trillion valuation if the market capitalization implied by the IPO offering price multiplied by the total number of outstanding shares equals or exceeds $1 trillion USD.
Announcements, filings, or planned IPOs that do not result in public trading by that time will not qualify. Private funding rounds, secondary share sales, or employee-share transactions will not be considered. A direct listing or merger via SPAC will qualify only if it results in OpenAI’s common shares becoming publicly traded for the first time on a major exchange.
If OpenAI’s IPO is priced before the resolution deadline but public trading has not yet commenced, the market may remain open for up to 30 calendar days to determine whether the IPO is completed.
If OpenAI is acquired, dissolved, or merged into another entity before an IPO occurs, this market will resolve to “No.” In the event of a restructuring, the market will resolve based on the entity legally recognized as OpenAI’s successor will
The resolution source will be a consensus for credible reporting.
An “initial public offering (IPO)” refers to the first sale of OpenAI’s equity securities to the public through a regulated stock exchange.
OpenAI will be considered to have achieved a $1 trillion valuation if the market capitalization implied by the IPO offering price multiplied by the total number of outstanding shares equals or exceeds $1 trillion USD.
Announcements, filings, or planned IPOs that do not result in public trading by that time will not qualify. Private funding rounds, secondary share sales, or employee-share transactions will not be considered. A direct listing or merger via SPAC will qualify only if it results in OpenAI’s common shares becoming publicly traded for the first time on a major exchange.
If OpenAI’s IPO is priced before the resolution deadline but public trading has not yet commenced, the market may remain open for up to 30 calendar days to determine whether the IPO is completed.
If OpenAI is acquired, dissolved, or merged into another entity before an IPO occurs, this market will resolve to “No.” In the event of a restructuring, the market will resolve based on the entity legally recognized as OpenAI’s successor will
The resolution source will be a consensus for credible reporting.
Объем
$243,653Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 29, 2025, 8:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices a 75.5% implied probability against OpenAI completing a $1 trillion-plus initial public offering before 2027, driven by the AI lab's recent $122 billion funding round closed April 1 at an $852 billion post-money valuation—Silicon Valley's largest ever—yet revealing stark cash burn exceeding $19 billion annually against $25 billion projected 2026 revenue. Persistent unprofitability until at least 2030, lofty 28x forward revenue multiples, and competition from Anthropic's surging Claude models fuel skepticism, despite earlier reports of H2 2026 IPO groundwork including investor relations hires. No S-1 filing has surfaced, with Q4 2026 as the earliest window; watch for profitability updates or regulatory shifts on AI infrastructure to sway sentiment.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы