Rep. Kevin Hern dominates trader consensus at 88.5% implied probability to win Oklahoma's open Republican U.S. Senate primary, following Sen. Markwayne Mullin's March confirmation as DHS Secretary, which vacated the seat. Hern announced his bid on March 11, filed candidacy on April 2 amid the start of statewide filing, and garnered pivotal endorsements from President Trump, Senate Majority Leader John Thune, and NRSC Chair Tim Scott, signaling strong party establishment and MAGA support. Lt. Gov. Matt Pinnell lingers at 4.3% on exploratory rumors despite opting out of the gubernatorial race, while remaining candidates hold negligible shares in this low-competition early field. The June 16 primary looms, with odds hinging on potential late high-profile entries or polling shifts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоПобедитель первичных выборов в республиканский сенат Оклахомы
Победитель первичных выборов в республиканский сенат Оклахомы
Кевин Херн 89%
Мэтт Пиннелл 4.1%
Уэйн Лонни Вашингтон 1.5%
Джон М. О’Коннор 1.2%
$55,254 Объем
$55,254 Объем
Кевин Херн
89%
Мэтт Пиннелл
4%
Уэйн Лонни Вашингтон
2%
Джон М. О’Коннор
1%
Стефани Байс
1%
Марквейн Маллин
1%
Рон Майнхардт
1%
Тэмми Свиренджин
1%
Ник Хэнкинс
1%
Донелл Хардер
<1%
Кевин Херн 89%
Мэтт Пиннелл 4.1%
Уэйн Лонни Вашингтон 1.5%
Джон М. О’Коннор 1.2%
$55,254 Объем
$55,254 Объем
Кевин Херн
89%
Мэтт Пиннелл
4%
Уэйн Лонни Вашингтон
2%
Джон М. О’Коннор
1%
Стефани Байс
1%
Марквейн Маллин
1%
Рон Майнхардт
1%
Тэмми Свиренджин
1%
Ник Хэнкинс
1%
Донелл Хардер
<1%
If no 2026 Oklahoma Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Открытие рынка: Mar 5, 2026, 5:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no 2026 Oklahoma Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Rep. Kevin Hern dominates trader consensus at 88.5% implied probability to win Oklahoma's open Republican U.S. Senate primary, following Sen. Markwayne Mullin's March confirmation as DHS Secretary, which vacated the seat. Hern announced his bid on March 11, filed candidacy on April 2 amid the start of statewide filing, and garnered pivotal endorsements from President Trump, Senate Majority Leader John Thune, and NRSC Chair Tim Scott, signaling strong party establishment and MAGA support. Lt. Gov. Matt Pinnell lingers at 4.3% on exploratory rumors despite opting out of the gubernatorial race, while remaining candidates hold negligible shares in this low-competition early field. The June 16 primary looms, with odds hinging on potential late high-profile entries or polling shifts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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