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Next leader out of power before 2027?

Market icon

Next leader out of power before 2027?

Ended: Dec 31

Dec 31

Ended: Dec 31

Dec 31

Khamenei - Iran Supreme Leader 100.0%

Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea <1%

Starmer - UK PM <1%

Zelenskyy - Ukraine President <1%

Polymarket

$434,414 Объем

Khamenei - Iran Supreme Leader 100.0%

Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea <1%

Starmer - UK PM <1%

Zelenskyy - Ukraine President <1%

Polymarket

$434,414 Объем

Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea

$14,961 Объем

No

Starmer - UK PM

$4,920 Объем

No

Zelenskyy - Ukraine President

$15,716 Объем

No

Abbas - President of Palestine

$3,885 Объем

No

Petro - Colombia President

$3,681 Объем

No

Rodríguez - Venezuela Acting President

$3,502 Объем

No

al-Sharaa - Syria President

$3,084 Объем

No

Macron - France President

$3,293 Объем

No

Xi - General Secretary of the CCP

$13,853 Объем

No

Albanese - Australia PM

$4,302 Объем

No

Newsom - California Governor

$4,337 Объем

No

Lula da Silva - Brazil President

$2,707 Объем

No

Lecornu - France PM

$5,761 Объем

No

Sánchez - Spanish PM

$8,210 Объем

No

Orbán - Hungary PM

$7,074 Объем

No

Khamenei - Iran Supreme Leader

$25,076 Объем

Yes

Netanyahu - Israel PM

$3,643 Объем

No

Trump - USA President

$14,450 Объем

No

Putin - Russia President

$256,060 Объем

No

Takaichi - Japan PM

$3,665 Объем

No

Merz - German Chancellor

$3,259 Объем

No

Sheinbaum - Mexico President

$2,970 Объем

No

None before 2027

$11,258 Объем

No

Erdoğan - Türkiye President

$3,765 Объем

No

Milei - Argentina President

$4,391 Объем

No

Díaz-Canel - Cuba President

$6,592 Объем

No

This market will resolve according to the first individual who ceases to occupy their listed office.

An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.

Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.

Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.

If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$434,414
Дата окончания
Dec 31, 2026
Открытие рынка
Feb 27, 2026, 5:17 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the first individual who ceases to occupy their listed office. An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify. Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count. Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market. If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Next leader out of power before 2027?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 26 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Khamenei - Iran Supreme Leader" at 100%, followed by "Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Next leader out of power before 2027?" has generated $434.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 27, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Next leader out of power before 2027?," browse the 26 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Next leader out of power before 2027?" is "Khamenei - Iran Supreme Leader" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Next leader out of power before 2027?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.