Wesley Bell holds a clear lead in the Missouri 1st District Democratic primary because he enters the August 4, 2026 contest as the sitting representative who defeated Cori Bush in 2024. His incumbency, stronger cash-on-hand position reported through March 2026, and established campaign infrastructure provide structural advantages in a district with a heavy Democratic lean. Bush’s October 2025 announcement launched a high-profile rematch centered on progressive mobilization and outside spending debates, yet the primary remains several months away with limited recent polling or new endorsements altering the balance. Trader pricing reflects the typical edge for an incumbent in a low-turnout primary setting, tempered by Bush’s name recognition and base support.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$11,656 Объем
$11,656 Объем
Уэсли Белл
77%
Кори Буш
26%
$11,656 Объем
$11,656 Объем
Уэсли Белл
77%
Кори Буш
26%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Открытие рынка: Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Wesley Bell holds a clear lead in the Missouri 1st District Democratic primary because he enters the August 4, 2026 contest as the sitting representative who defeated Cori Bush in 2024. His incumbency, stronger cash-on-hand position reported through March 2026, and established campaign infrastructure provide structural advantages in a district with a heavy Democratic lean. Bush’s October 2025 announcement launched a high-profile rematch centered on progressive mobilization and outside spending debates, yet the primary remains several months away with limited recent polling or new endorsements altering the balance. Trader pricing reflects the typical edge for an incumbent in a low-turnout primary setting, tempered by Bush’s name recognition and base support.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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