Incumbent Rep. Wesley Bell holds a commanding 64.5% implied probability on Polymarket as the trader-favored Democratic nominee for Missouri's 1st Congressional District primary on August 4, buoyed by his narrow 2024 primary win over Cori Bush and incumbency advantages in the St. Louis-based battleground. Bush, who filed for a high-profile rematch by the March 31 deadline, has ramped up grassroots appeals contrasting her refusal of corporate and pro-Israel lobby funds against Bell's backing from such groups, securing a recent endorsement from the anti-AIPAC PAL PAC on April 1. Absent fresh polls, traders weigh Bell's established record and voter recognition higher amid the district's competitive dynamics, though Bush's progressive mobilization could narrow the gap ahead of key campaign events.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоУэсли Белл
64%
Кори Буш
31%
Уэсли Белл
64%
Кори Буш
31%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Открытие рынка: Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Wesley Bell holds a commanding 64.5% implied probability on Polymarket as the trader-favored Democratic nominee for Missouri's 1st Congressional District primary on August 4, buoyed by his narrow 2024 primary win over Cori Bush and incumbency advantages in the St. Louis-based battleground. Bush, who filed for a high-profile rematch by the March 31 deadline, has ramped up grassroots appeals contrasting her refusal of corporate and pro-Israel lobby funds against Bell's backing from such groups, securing a recent endorsement from the anti-AIPAC PAL PAC on April 1. Absent fresh polls, traders weigh Bell's established record and voter recognition higher amid the district's competitive dynamics, though Bush's progressive mobilization could narrow the gap ahead of key campaign events.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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