Incumbent Rep. Wesley Bell commands 64% trader consensus to win Missouri's 1st Congressional District Democratic primary on August 4, buoyed by his narrow 2024 upset over Cori Bush and strong incumbency advantages in this St. Louis-area battleground. The March 31 filing deadline solidified the anticipated rematch, with Bush—ousted previously amid heavy pro-Israel group spending—launching a comeback bid emphasizing grassroots support and no corporate PAC funds. Bell holds a clear fundraising lead with superior cash on hand per early 2026 reports, reinforcing trader confidence despite Bush's progressive endorsements and lingering 2024 grievances over resolutions and policy stances. No public polls have emerged post-filing, leaving odds sensitive to endorsements, spending, and turnout among key voting blocs.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоУэсли Белл
64%
Кори Буш
31%
Уэсли Белл
64%
Кори Буш
31%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Открытие рынка: Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Wesley Bell commands 64% trader consensus to win Missouri's 1st Congressional District Democratic primary on August 4, buoyed by his narrow 2024 upset over Cori Bush and strong incumbency advantages in this St. Louis-area battleground. The March 31 filing deadline solidified the anticipated rematch, with Bush—ousted previously amid heavy pro-Israel group spending—launching a comeback bid emphasizing grassroots support and no corporate PAC funds. Bell holds a clear fundraising lead with superior cash on hand per early 2026 reports, reinforcing trader confidence despite Bush's progressive endorsements and lingering 2024 grievances over resolutions and policy stances. No public polls have emerged post-filing, leaving odds sensitive to endorsements, spending, and turnout among key voting blocs.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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