No major Republican contender has formally announced a 2028 presidential bid as of mid-September 2026, leaving the market heavily weighted toward “Other” at 50%. Ted Cruz leads named options at 41.5% after multiple public statements affirming his interest and rejecting any early consensus around Vice President J.D. Vance, including remarks at recent events and interviews. Ron DeSantis, at 17.5%, has repeatedly declined to rule out a run after leaving office in January 2027 but has focused on fundraising and state priorities. The recent RNC gathering in Dallas highlighted a wide-open field with Vance, Marco Rubio, and Cruz frequently mentioned, yet no declarations followed. Midterm election outcomes and early 2027 positioning could prompt the first major announcement and shift implied probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоTed Cruz 42%
Ron DeSantis 18%
Rand Paul 14.8%
J.D. Vance 11%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 дек. 2027 г.
Ted Cruz
42%
Ron DeSantis
18%
Rand Paul
15%
J.D. Vance
11%
Marco Rubio
6%
Donald Trump Jr.
6%
Donald Trump
5%
Vivek Ramaswamy
4%
Marjorie Taylor Greene
4%
Glenn Youngkin
1%
Ted Cruz 42%
Ron DeSantis 18%
Rand Paul 14.8%
J.D. Vance 11%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 дек. 2027 г.
Ted Cruz
$4,697 Объем
42%
Ron DeSantis
$326 Объем
18%
Rand Paul
$998 Объем
15%
J.D. Vance
$404 Объем
11%
Marco Rubio
$419 Объем
6%
Donald Trump Jr.
$166 Объем
6%
Donald Trump
$981 Объем
5%
Vivek Ramaswamy
$313 Объем
4%
Marjorie Taylor Greene
$154 Объем
4%
Glenn Youngkin
$197 Объем
1%
This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who publicly and unambiguously announces their candidacy in the 2028 United States presidential election, whether they are seeking any party nomination in the election or otherwise. An announcement that an individual is exploring a run or has formed an exploratory committee will be insufficient to resolve this market.
The listed individuals are: J.D. Vance, Marco Rubio, Ron DeSantis, Donald Trump, Donald Trump Jr., Glenn Youngkin, Vivek Ramaswamy, Ted Cruz, Rand Paul, and Marjorie Taylor Greene.
An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Once a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.No major Republican contender has formally announced a 2028 presidential bid as of mid-September 2026, leaving the market heavily weighted toward “Other” at 50%. Ted Cruz leads named options at 41.5% after multiple public statements affirming his interest and rejecting any early consensus around Vice President J.D. Vance, including remarks at recent events and interviews. Ron DeSantis, at 17.5%, has repeatedly declined to rule out a run after leaving office in January 2027 but has focused on fundraising and state priorities. The recent RNC gathering in Dallas highlighted a wide-open field with Vance, Marco Rubio, and Cruz frequently mentioned, yet no declarations followed. Midterm election outcomes and early 2027 positioning could prompt the first major announcement and shift implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who publicly and unambiguously announces their candidacy in the 2028 United States presidential election, whether they are seeking any party nomination in the election or otherwise. An announcement that an individual is exploring a run or has formed an exploratory committee will be insufficient to resolve this market.
The listed individuals are: J.D. Vance, Marco Rubio, Ron DeSantis, Donald Trump, Donald Trump Jr., Glenn Youngkin, Vivek Ramaswamy, Ted Cruz, Rand Paul, and Marjorie Taylor Greene.
An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Once a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The listed individuals are: J.D. Vance, Marco Rubio, Ron DeSantis, Donald Trump, Donald Trump Jr., Glenn Youngkin, Vivek Ramaswamy, Ted Cruz, Rand Paul, and Marjorie Taylor Greene.
An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Once a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jul 21, 2026, 6:58 PM ET
Объем
$8,653Дата окончания
31 дек. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 21, 2026, 6:58 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who publicly and unambiguously announces their candidacy in the 2028 United States presidential election, whether they are seeking any party nomination in the election or otherwise. An announcement that an individual is exploring a run or has formed an exploratory committee will be insufficient to resolve this market.
The listed individuals are: J.D. Vance, Marco Rubio, Ron DeSantis, Donald Trump, Donald Trump Jr., Glenn Youngkin, Vivek Ramaswamy, Ted Cruz, Rand Paul, and Marjorie Taylor Greene.
An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Once a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.No major Republican contender has formally announced a 2028 presidential bid as of mid-September 2026, leaving the market heavily weighted toward “Other” at 50%. Ted Cruz leads named options at 41.5% after multiple public statements affirming his interest and rejecting any early consensus around Vice President J.D. Vance, including remarks at recent events and interviews. Ron DeSantis, at 17.5%, has repeatedly declined to rule out a run after leaving office in January 2027 but has focused on fundraising and state priorities. The recent RNC gathering in Dallas highlighted a wide-open field with Vance, Marco Rubio, and Cruz frequently mentioned, yet no declarations followed. Midterm election outcomes and early 2027 positioning could prompt the first major announcement and shift implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who publicly and unambiguously announces their candidacy in the 2028 United States presidential election, whether they are seeking any party nomination in the election or otherwise. An announcement that an individual is exploring a run or has formed an exploratory committee will be insufficient to resolve this market.
The listed individuals are: J.D. Vance, Marco Rubio, Ron DeSantis, Donald Trump, Donald Trump Jr., Glenn Youngkin, Vivek Ramaswamy, Ted Cruz, Rand Paul, and Marjorie Taylor Greene.
An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Once a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The listed individuals are: J.D. Vance, Marco Rubio, Ron DeSantis, Donald Trump, Donald Trump Jr., Glenn Youngkin, Vivek Ramaswamy, Ted Cruz, Rand Paul, and Marjorie Taylor Greene.
An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Once a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$8,653Дата окончания
31 дек. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 21, 2026, 6:58 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...No major Republican contender has formally announced a 2028 presidential bid as of mid-September 2026, leaving the market heavily weighted toward “Other” at 50%. Ted Cruz leads named options at 41.5% after multiple public statements affirming his interest and rejecting any early consensus around Vice President J.D. Vance, including remarks at recent events and interviews. Ron DeSantis, at 17.5%, has repeatedly declined to rule out a run after leaving office in January 2027 but has focused on fundraising and state priorities. The recent RNC gathering in Dallas highlighted a wide-open field with Vance, Marco Rubio, and Cruz frequently mentioned, yet no declarations followed. Midterm election outcomes and early 2027 positioning could prompt the first major announcement and shift implied probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы