Market icon

Максимальная площадь арктического морского льда этой зимой?

14,6-14,8 млн кв. км 42%

14,8-15 млн кв. км 34.4%

14,2–14,4 млн кв. км 16%

15+ млн кв. км 8.4%

Polymarket
NEW

This market will resolve according to the maximum Arctic sea ice extent for all days between November 20, 2025 and April 1, 2026, as published by the National Snow and Ice Data Center.

This market will remain open until data has been published for April 1, 2026, at which point it will resolve immediately. Any revisions to sea ice extent recorded after data is published for April 1, 2026 will not be considered.

The resolution source for this market measures Arctic sea ice extent to thousands of square kilometers (e.g. 14.255 million sq km). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the National Snow and Ice Data Center, specifically the maximum value recorded for any day between November 20, 2025 and April 1, 2026 in the “NH-Daily-Extent” tab of the “Sea Ice Index Daily Extent” data set, available at https://nsidc.org/sea-ice-today/sea-ice-tools. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Объем
$6,511
Дата окончания
Apr 1, 2026
Дата создания
Nov 20, 2025, 6:43 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the maximum Arctic sea ice extent for all days between November 20, 2025 and April 1, 2026, as published by the National Snow and Ice Data Center. This market will remain open until data has been published for April 1, 2026, at which point it will resolve immediately. Any revisions to sea ice extent recorded after data is published for April 1, 2026 will not be considered. The resolution source for this market measures Arctic sea ice extent to thousands of square kilometers (e.g. 14.255 million sq km). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. The resolution source for this market will be information from the National Snow and Ice Data Center, specifically the maximum value recorded for any day between November 20, 2025 and April 1, 2026 in the “NH-Daily-Extent” tab of the “Sea Ice Index Daily Extent” data set, available at https://nsidc.org/sea-ice-today/sea-ice-tools. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Максимальная площадь арктического морского льда этой зимой?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "14,6-14,8 млн кв. км" at 42%, followed by "14,8-15 млн кв. км" at 34%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 42¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 42% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Максимальная площадь арктического морского льда этой зимой?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Nov 20, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Максимальная площадь арктического морского льда этой зимой?," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Максимальная площадь арктического морского льда этой зимой?" is "14,6-14,8 млн кв. км" at 42%, meaning the market assigns a 42% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "14,8-15 млн кв. км" at 34%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Максимальная площадь арктического морского льда этой зимой?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.
Market icon

Максимальная площадь арктического морского льда этой зимой?

14,6-14,8 млн кв. км 42%

14,8-15 млн кв. км 34.4%

14,2–14,4 млн кв. км 16%

15+ млн кв. км 8.4%

Polymarket
NEW
Market icon

<14 млн кв. км

$783 Объем

8%

Market icon

14-14,2 млн кв. км

$255 Объем

2%

Market icon

14,2–14,4 млн кв. км

$921 Объем

16%

Market icon

14,4–14,6 млн кв. км

$243 Объем

30%

Market icon

14,6-14,8 млн кв. км

$1,179 Объем

42%

Market icon

14,8-15 млн кв. км

$215 Объем

34%

Market icon

15+ млн кв. км

$2,914 Объем

8%

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Максимальная площадь арктического морского льда этой зимой?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "14,6-14,8 млн кв. км" at 42%, followed by "14,8-15 млн кв. км" at 34%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 42¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 42% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Максимальная площадь арктического морского льда этой зимой?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Nov 20, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Максимальная площадь арктического морского льда этой зимой?," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Максимальная площадь арктического морского льда этой зимой?" is "14,6-14,8 млн кв. км" at 42%, meaning the market assigns a 42% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "14,8-15 млн кв. км" at 34%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Максимальная площадь арктического морского льда этой зимой?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.