Trader consensus heavily favors Iran remaining in the 2026 FIFA World Cup qualifiers, with no official FIFA announcements, suspensions, or disciplinary probes targeting the team as of late March. Iran's national squad sits atop AFC Group A unbeaten after back-to-back 4-0 and 2-0 victories over UAE and Uzbekistan, showcasing dominant form under coach Amir Ghalenoei with key contributions from Sardar Azmoun and Mehdi Taremi. Absent any verified geopolitical interventions or rule violations from league communications, the absence of momentum toward removal—coupled with Iran's historical success in Asian qualifying (five straight World Cup appearances)—anchors the 85% "No" probability, reflecting crowd wisdom on stable qualification paths.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоДа
$145,655 Объем
$145,655 Объем
Да
$145,655 Объем
$145,655 Объем
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran is officially disqualified, banned, withdrawn, or otherwise confirmed not to participate in the 2026 FIFA World Cup by March 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of resolution, a qualifying announcement made on or before March 31, 2026, will suffice, regardless of whether Iran ultimately participates in the tournament thereafter.
"Confirmed to not participate" is defined as an official announcement by FIFA, the Iranian Football Federation, or a governing body resulting in Iran's removal from the tournament, whether due to disqualification, withdrawal, suspension, or any other reason.
The resolution source will be official announcements from FIFA or the Iranian Football Federation, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Mar 1, 2026, 3:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran is officially disqualified, banned, withdrawn, or otherwise confirmed not to participate in the 2026 FIFA World Cup by March 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of resolution, a qualifying announcement made on or before March 31, 2026, will suffice, regardless of whether Iran ultimately participates in the tournament thereafter.
"Confirmed to not participate" is defined as an official announcement by FIFA, the Iranian Football Federation, or a governing body resulting in Iran's removal from the tournament, whether due to disqualification, withdrawal, suspension, or any other reason.
The resolution source will be official announcements from FIFA or the Iranian Football Federation, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus heavily favors Iran remaining in the 2026 FIFA World Cup qualifiers, with no official FIFA announcements, suspensions, or disciplinary probes targeting the team as of late March. Iran's national squad sits atop AFC Group A unbeaten after back-to-back 4-0 and 2-0 victories over UAE and Uzbekistan, showcasing dominant form under coach Amir Ghalenoei with key contributions from Sardar Azmoun and Mehdi Taremi. Absent any verified geopolitical interventions or rule violations from league communications, the absence of momentum toward removal—coupled with Iran's historical success in Asian qualifying (five straight World Cup appearances)—anchors the 85% "No" probability, reflecting crowd wisdom on stable qualification paths.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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