Recent opinion polls, including a 21 Kutatóközpont survey from late March showing Tisza at 56% and Fidesz-KDNP at 37% among decided voters, have widened the opposition's lead just nine days before Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election, fueling trader consensus that Fidesz-KDNP will finish second with 69.5% implied probability. Péter Magyar's Tisza party has consolidated anti-incumbent sentiment after 16 years of Fidesz rule, drawing centre-right voters disillusioned by economic pressures and EU tensions, while legacy opposition parties like MSZP, DK, and Momentum poll under 1%. Hungary's mixed electoral system advantages larger blocs, but Tisza's double-digit edge among likely voters signals a potential shift, though undecideds and turnout could narrow the gap ahead of election day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHungary Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
Hungary Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
Fidesz-KDNP 70%
TISZA 30%
MSZP <1%
LMP <1%
$84,941 Объем
$84,941 Объем
12 апр. 2026 г.
Fidesz-KDNP
70%
TISZA
30%
MSZP
<1%
LMP
<1%
DK
<1%
Mi Hazánk
<1%
Momentum
<1%
Párbeszéd
<1%
Jobbik
<1%
Fidesz-KDNP 70%
TISZA 30%
MSZP <1%
LMP <1%
$84,941 Объем
$84,941 Объем
12 апр. 2026 г.
Fidesz-KDNP
$16,179 Объем
70%
TISZA
$15,038 Объем
30%
MSZP
$13,764 Объем
<1%
LMP
$2,596 Объем
<1%
DK
$2,962 Объем
<1%
Mi Hazánk
$27,148 Объем
<1%
Momentum
$2,271 Объем
<1%
Párbeszéd
$2,536 Объем
<1%
Jobbik
$2,447 Объем
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on 12 April 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Note: Fidesz and KDNP registered jointly for the 2026 Hungary parliamentary elections (see: https://vtr.valasztas.hu/ogy2026/orszagos-listak?tab=partlistak). If the Fidesz-KDNP coalition dissolves prior to the election, this option will represent only seats won by Fidesz.Recent opinion polls, including a 21 Kutatóközpont survey from late March showing Tisza at 56% and Fidesz-KDNP at 37% among decided voters, have widened the opposition's lead just nine days before Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election, fueling trader consensus that Fidesz-KDNP will finish second with 69.5% implied probability. Péter Magyar's Tisza party has consolidated anti-incumbent sentiment after 16 years of Fidesz rule, drawing centre-right voters disillusioned by economic pressures and EU tensions, while legacy opposition parties like MSZP, DK, and Momentum poll under 1%. Hungary's mixed electoral system advantages larger blocs, but Tisza's double-digit edge among likely voters signals a potential shift, though undecideds and turnout could narrow the gap ahead of election day.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on 12 April 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Note: Fidesz and KDNP registered jointly for the 2026 Hungary parliamentary elections (see: https://vtr.valasztas.hu/ogy2026/orszagos-listak?tab=partlistak). If the Fidesz-KDNP coalition dissolves prior to the election, this option will represent only seats won by Fidesz.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Note: Fidesz and KDNP registered jointly for the 2026 Hungary parliamentary elections (see: https://vtr.valasztas.hu/ogy2026/orszagos-listak?tab=partlistak). If the Fidesz-KDNP coalition dissolves prior to the election, this option will represent only seats won by Fidesz.
Открытие рынка: Mar 23, 2026, 1:52 PM ET
Объем
$84,941Дата окончания
12 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 23, 2026, 1:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on 12 April 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Note: Fidesz and KDNP registered jointly for the 2026 Hungary parliamentary elections (see: https://vtr.valasztas.hu/ogy2026/orszagos-listak?tab=partlistak). If the Fidesz-KDNP coalition dissolves prior to the election, this option will represent only seats won by Fidesz.Recent opinion polls, including a 21 Kutatóközpont survey from late March showing Tisza at 56% and Fidesz-KDNP at 37% among decided voters, have widened the opposition's lead just nine days before Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election, fueling trader consensus that Fidesz-KDNP will finish second with 69.5% implied probability. Péter Magyar's Tisza party has consolidated anti-incumbent sentiment after 16 years of Fidesz rule, drawing centre-right voters disillusioned by economic pressures and EU tensions, while legacy opposition parties like MSZP, DK, and Momentum poll under 1%. Hungary's mixed electoral system advantages larger blocs, but Tisza's double-digit edge among likely voters signals a potential shift, though undecideds and turnout could narrow the gap ahead of election day.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on 12 April 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Note: Fidesz and KDNP registered jointly for the 2026 Hungary parliamentary elections (see: https://vtr.valasztas.hu/ogy2026/orszagos-listak?tab=partlistak). If the Fidesz-KDNP coalition dissolves prior to the election, this option will represent only seats won by Fidesz.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Note: Fidesz and KDNP registered jointly for the 2026 Hungary parliamentary elections (see: https://vtr.valasztas.hu/ogy2026/orszagos-listak?tab=partlistak). If the Fidesz-KDNP coalition dissolves prior to the election, this option will represent only seats won by Fidesz.
Объем
$84,941Дата окончания
12 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 23, 2026, 1:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent opinion polls, including a 21 Kutatóközpont survey from late March showing Tisza at 56% and Fidesz-KDNP at 37% among decided voters, have widened the opposition's lead just nine days before Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election, fueling trader consensus that Fidesz-KDNP will finish second with 69.5% implied probability. Péter Magyar's Tisza party has consolidated anti-incumbent sentiment after 16 years of Fidesz rule, drawing centre-right voters disillusioned by economic pressures and EU tensions, while legacy opposition parties like MSZP, DK, and Momentum poll under 1%. Hungary's mixed electoral system advantages larger blocs, but Tisza's double-digit edge among likely voters signals a potential shift, though undecideds and turnout could narrow the gap ahead of election day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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