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Политика·Венгрия Выборы

# of seats won by Fidesz-KDNP in Hungary parliamentary election?

Market icon
Политика·Венгрия Выборы

# of seats won by Fidesz-KDNP in Hungary parliamentary election?

<70 34%

70-84 23%

100-114 16%

85-99 14%

Polymarket

$563,479 Объем

<70 34%

70-84 23%

100-114 16%

85-99 14%

Polymarket

$563,479 Объем

<70

$40,305 Объем

34%

70-84

$8,644 Объем

23%

85-99

$13,330 Объем

14%

100-114

$13,490 Объем

16%

115-129

$299,592 Объем

11%

130+

$188,118 Объем

6%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Fidesz-KDNP in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified coalition. If the specified coalition dissolves prior to the election, this market will resolve based on the total number of seats won by the two component parties. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).With Hungary's parliamentary election one week away on April 12, recent opposition-leaning polls like Závecz Research (51% Tisza, 38% Fidesz-KDNP) and Medián (58% Tisza, 35% Fidesz-KDNP) have driven trader bets toward Fidesz-KDNP under 70 seats at 33.5% implied probability, signaling risks to their incumbency amid Péter Magyar's Tisza surge. Government-aligned surveys, such as Nézőpont's projection of 66 single-member district wins out of 106, suggest a path to simple majority via the mixed system including 93 proportional list seats. Key differentiators include Tisza's national vote momentum versus Fidesz's district organization and Mi Hazánk's 5-8% potentially splitting right-wing support; high opposition turnout or base mobilization could consolidate odds around sub-100 outcomes.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Fidesz-KDNP in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election.

If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified coalition. If the specified coalition dissolves prior to the election, this market will resolve based on the total number of seats won by the two component parties.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Объем
$563,479
Дата окончания
12 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Mar 13, 2026, 1:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Fidesz-KDNP in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified coalition. If the specified coalition dissolves prior to the election, this market will resolve based on the total number of seats won by the two component parties. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Fidesz-KDNP in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified coalition. If the specified coalition dissolves prior to the election, this market will resolve based on the total number of seats won by the two component parties. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).With Hungary's parliamentary election one week away on April 12, recent opposition-leaning polls like Závecz Research (51% Tisza, 38% Fidesz-KDNP) and Medián (58% Tisza, 35% Fidesz-KDNP) have driven trader bets toward Fidesz-KDNP under 70 seats at 33.5% implied probability, signaling risks to their incumbency amid Péter Magyar's Tisza surge. Government-aligned surveys, such as Nézőpont's projection of 66 single-member district wins out of 106, suggest a path to simple majority via the mixed system including 93 proportional list seats. Key differentiators include Tisza's national vote momentum versus Fidesz's district organization and Mi Hazánk's 5-8% potentially splitting right-wing support; high opposition turnout or base mobilization could consolidate odds around sub-100 outcomes.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Fidesz-KDNP in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election.

If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified coalition. If the specified coalition dissolves prior to the election, this market will resolve based on the total number of seats won by the two component parties.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Объем
$563,479
Дата окончания
12 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Mar 13, 2026, 1:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Fidesz-KDNP in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified coalition. If the specified coalition dissolves prior to the election, this market will resolve based on the total number of seats won by the two component parties. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).

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Текущий фаворит для «# of seats won by Fidesz-KDNP in Hungary parliamentary election?» — «<70» с 34%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 34%. Следующий ближайший исход — «70-84» с 23%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

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