Hezbollah continues near-daily military actions against Israel amid the ongoing 2026 Lebanon war that erupted on March 2, launching rockets, drones, missiles, and artillery at IDF positions, bases, northern settlements, and central targets like Haifa and Tel Aviv. Three days ago, the group fired a salvo of missiles into central Israel, seriously injuring two soldiers, while claiming 63 operations in one 24-hour span and up to 600 strikes recently. Israel counters with airstrikes on Hezbollah command centers and weapon sites in southern Lebanon, plus limited ground advances. Border clashes persist without de-escalation signals, though unconfirmed ceasefire talks loom; traders assess sustained escalation patterns and potential diplomatic interventions ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHezbollah military action against Israel on...?
Hezbollah military action against Israel on...?
$1,810,066 Объем
Mar 31, 2026
March 22
100%
March 29
96%
March 30
89%
March 31
90%
$1,810,066 Объем
March 22
$1,715,818 Объем
100%
March 29
$7,469 Объем
96%
March 30
$3,759 Объем
89%
March 31
$2,051 Объем
90%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hezbollah initiates a drone, missile, or air strike that impacts Israeli ground territory on the specified date, Israel Standard Time (UTC+2). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Hezbollah forces that physically impact land under Israeli control.
Israeli ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Israel, including all territory under de facto Israeli government administration as of market creation. This includes the Israeli-controlled Golan Heights and East Jerusalem, but excludes the West Bank and Gaza Strip.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether debris lands on Israeli soil or causes damage.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Hezbollah continues near-daily military actions against Israel amid the ongoing 2026 Lebanon war that erupted on March 2, launching rockets, drones, missiles, and artillery at IDF positions, bases, northern settlements, and central targets like Haifa and Tel Aviv. Three days ago, the group fired a salvo of missiles into central Israel, seriously injuring two soldiers, while claiming 63 operations in one 24-hour span and up to 600 strikes recently. Israel counters with airstrikes on Hezbollah command centers and weapon sites in southern Lebanon, plus limited ground advances. Border clashes persist without de-escalation signals, though unconfirmed ceasefire talks loom; traders assess sustained escalation patterns and potential diplomatic interventions ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hezbollah initiates a drone, missile, or air strike that impacts Israeli ground territory on the specified date, Israel Standard Time (UTC+2). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Hezbollah forces that physically impact land under Israeli control.
Israeli ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Israel, including all territory under de facto Israeli government administration as of market creation. This includes the Israeli-controlled Golan Heights and East Jerusalem, but excludes the West Bank and Gaza Strip.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether debris lands on Israeli soil or causes damage.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Hezbollah forces that physically impact land under Israeli control.
Israeli ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Israel, including all territory under de facto Israeli government administration as of market creation. This includes the Israeli-controlled Golan Heights and East Jerusalem, but excludes the West Bank and Gaza Strip.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether debris lands on Israeli soil or causes damage.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Открытие рынка: Mar 20, 2026, 2:48 PM ET
Объем
$1,810,066Дата окончания
Mar 31, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 20, 2026, 2:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hezbollah initiates a drone, missile, or air strike that impacts Israeli ground territory on the specified date, Israel Standard Time (UTC+2). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Hezbollah forces that physically impact land under Israeli control.
Israeli ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Israel, including all territory under de facto Israeli government administration as of market creation. This includes the Israeli-controlled Golan Heights and East Jerusalem, but excludes the West Bank and Gaza Strip.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether debris lands on Israeli soil or causes damage.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Hezbollah continues near-daily military actions against Israel amid the ongoing 2026 Lebanon war that erupted on March 2, launching rockets, drones, missiles, and artillery at IDF positions, bases, northern settlements, and central targets like Haifa and Tel Aviv. Three days ago, the group fired a salvo of missiles into central Israel, seriously injuring two soldiers, while claiming 63 operations in one 24-hour span and up to 600 strikes recently. Israel counters with airstrikes on Hezbollah command centers and weapon sites in southern Lebanon, plus limited ground advances. Border clashes persist without de-escalation signals, though unconfirmed ceasefire talks loom; traders assess sustained escalation patterns and potential diplomatic interventions ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hezbollah initiates a drone, missile, or air strike that impacts Israeli ground territory on the specified date, Israel Standard Time (UTC+2). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Hezbollah forces that physically impact land under Israeli control.
Israeli ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Israel, including all territory under de facto Israeli government administration as of market creation. This includes the Israeli-controlled Golan Heights and East Jerusalem, but excludes the West Bank and Gaza Strip.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether debris lands on Israeli soil or causes damage.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Hezbollah forces that physically impact land under Israeli control.
Israeli ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Israel, including all territory under de facto Israeli government administration as of market creation. This includes the Israeli-controlled Golan Heights and East Jerusalem, but excludes the West Bank and Gaza Strip.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether debris lands on Israeli soil or causes damage.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Объем
$1,810,066Дата окончания
Mar 31, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 20, 2026, 2:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Hezbollah continues near-daily military actions against Israel amid the ongoing 2026 Lebanon war that erupted on March 2, launching rockets, drones, missiles, and artillery at IDF positions, bases, northern settlements, and central targets like Haifa and Tel Aviv. Three days ago, the group fired a salvo of missiles into central Israel, seriously injuring two soldiers, while claiming 63 operations in one 24-hour span and up to 600 strikes recently. Israel counters with airstrikes on Hezbollah command centers and weapon sites in southern Lebanon, plus limited ground advances. Border clashes persist without de-escalation signals, though unconfirmed ceasefire talks loom; traders assess sustained escalation patterns and potential diplomatic interventions ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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