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Gavin Newsom out as Governor before April?

Market icon

Gavin Newsom out as Governor before April?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$720,083 Объем

<1% chance
Polymarket

$720,083 Объем

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gavin Newsom is no longer serving as Governor of California for any length of time between January 8 and March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement of Gavin Newsom's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$720,083
Дата окончания
Mar 31, 2025
Открытие рынка
Jan 9, 2025, 1:03 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gavin Newsom is no longer serving as Governor of California for any length of time between January 8 and March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of Gavin Newsom's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Предложенный исход: No

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gavin Newsom is no longer serving as Governor of California for any length of time between January 8 and March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement of Gavin Newsom's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$720,083
Дата окончания
Mar 31, 2025
Открытие рынка
Jan 9, 2025, 1:03 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gavin Newsom is no longer serving as Governor of California for any length of time between January 8 and March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of Gavin Newsom's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Предложенный исход: No

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Gavin Newsom out as Governor before April?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Gavin Newsom out as Governor before April?" has generated $720.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 9, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Gavin Newsom out as Governor before April?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Gavin Newsom out as Governor before April?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Gavin Newsom out as Governor before April?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.