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Bucharest Mayoral Election: Any Candidate Gets >50% of the Vote?

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Bucharest Mayoral Election: Any Candidate Gets >50% of the Vote?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$12,735 Объем

<1% chance
Polymarket

$12,735 Объем

Nicușor Dan, the former Mayor of Bucharest, was elected President of Romania on May 18, 2025, triggering a mayoral by-election expected within 90 days of his departure. This election is now scheduled for December 7, 2025.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins over 50% of the votes cast in the by-election for Mayor of Bucharest. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no by-election takes place by July 31, 2026, or the results of the Bucharest mayoral election are otherwise unknown by that date, this market will resolve to “No.”

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results as reported by the Romanian Government, specifically the Permanent Electoral Authority (https://www.roaep.ro/prezentare/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$12,735
Дата окончания
Dec 7, 2025
Открытие рынка
Nov 26, 2025, 3:57 PM ET
Nicușor Dan, the former Mayor of Bucharest, was elected President of Romania on May 18, 2025, triggering a mayoral by-election expected within 90 days of his departure. This election is now scheduled for December 7, 2025. This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins over 50% of the votes cast in the by-election for Mayor of Bucharest. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no by-election takes place by July 31, 2026, or the results of the Bucharest mayoral election are otherwise unknown by that date, this market will resolve to “No.” If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results as reported by the Romanian Government, specifically the Permanent Electoral Authority (https://www.roaep.ro/prezentare/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Предложенный исход: No

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: No

Nicușor Dan, the former Mayor of Bucharest, was elected President of Romania on May 18, 2025, triggering a mayoral by-election expected within 90 days of his departure. This election is now scheduled for December 7, 2025.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins over 50% of the votes cast in the by-election for Mayor of Bucharest. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no by-election takes place by July 31, 2026, or the results of the Bucharest mayoral election are otherwise unknown by that date, this market will resolve to “No.”

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results as reported by the Romanian Government, specifically the Permanent Electoral Authority (https://www.roaep.ro/prezentare/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$12,735
Дата окончания
Dec 7, 2025
Открытие рынка
Nov 26, 2025, 3:57 PM ET
Nicușor Dan, the former Mayor of Bucharest, was elected President of Romania on May 18, 2025, triggering a mayoral by-election expected within 90 days of his departure. This election is now scheduled for December 7, 2025. This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins over 50% of the votes cast in the by-election for Mayor of Bucharest. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no by-election takes place by July 31, 2026, or the results of the Bucharest mayoral election are otherwise unknown by that date, this market will resolve to “No.” If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results as reported by the Romanian Government, specifically the Permanent Electoral Authority (https://www.roaep.ro/prezentare/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Предложенный исход: No

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: No

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Bucharest Mayoral Election: Any Candidate Gets >50% of the Vote?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Bucharest Mayoral Election: Any Candidate Gets >50% of the Vote?" has generated $12.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 26, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Bucharest Mayoral Election: Any Candidate Gets >50% of the Vote?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Bucharest Mayoral Election: Any Candidate Gets >50% of the Vote?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Bucharest Mayoral Election: Any Candidate Gets >50% of the Vote?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.