Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Anthropic achieving a 600B+ closing market cap at IPO (75% implied probability), driven by its February 2026 Series G funding round that raised $30 billion at a $380 billion post-money valuation—the second-largest private tech deal ever—amid explosive revenue growth to $19 billion ARR from Claude large language model adoption. Fresh reports from the past 48 hours indicate early banker talks for a Q4 2026 listing raising over $60 billion, positioning the frontier AI developer ahead of rivals like OpenAI in the race to public markets, bolstered by Amazon and Google partnerships. A 20% chance of no IPO by end-2027 reflects potential delays from regulatory scrutiny on AI safety or volatile tech listings, with lower brackets dismissed due to sustained high private multiples and competitive momentum. Watch for S-1 filings or model benchmarks as key catalysts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоРыночная капитализация закрытия антропного IPO
Рыночная капитализация закрытия антропного IPO
600 млрд+ 75%
Нет IPO до 31 декабря 2027 года 20%
400–600 млрд 2.4%
300–400 млрд 1.7%
$92,654 Объем
$92,654 Объем
Dec 31, 2027
<100 млрд
<1%
100–200 млрд
1%
200–300 млрд
1%
300–400 млрд
2%
400–600 млрд
2%
600 млрд+
75%
Нет IPO до 31 декабря 2027 года
20%
600 млрд+ 75%
Нет IPO до 31 декабря 2027 года 20%
400–600 млрд 2.4%
300–400 млрд 1.7%
$92,654 Объем
$92,654 Объем
Dec 31, 2027
<100 млрд
$47,509 Объем
<1%
100–200 млрд
$3,298 Объем
1%
200–300 млрд
$3,355 Объем
1%
300–400 млрд
$25,425 Объем
2%
400–600 млрд
$3,286 Объем
2%
600 млрд+
$6,323 Объем
75%
Нет IPO до 31 декабря 2027 года
$3,459 Объем
20%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Anthropic achieving a 600B+ closing market cap at IPO (75% implied probability), driven by its February 2026 Series G funding round that raised $30 billion at a $380 billion post-money valuation—the second-largest private tech deal ever—amid explosive revenue growth to $19 billion ARR from Claude large language model adoption. Fresh reports from the past 48 hours indicate early banker talks for a Q4 2026 listing raising over $60 billion, positioning the frontier AI developer ahead of rivals like OpenAI in the race to public markets, bolstered by Amazon and Google partnerships. A 20% chance of no IPO by end-2027 reflects potential delays from regulatory scrutiny on AI safety or volatile tech listings, with lower brackets dismissed due to sustained high private multiples and competitive momentum. Watch for S-1 filings or model benchmarks as key catalysts.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Открытие рынка: Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ET
Объем
$92,654Дата окончания
Dec 31, 2027Открытие рынка
Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Anthropic achieving a 600B+ closing market cap at IPO (75% implied probability), driven by its February 2026 Series G funding round that raised $30 billion at a $380 billion post-money valuation—the second-largest private tech deal ever—amid explosive revenue growth to $19 billion ARR from Claude large language model adoption. Fresh reports from the past 48 hours indicate early banker talks for a Q4 2026 listing raising over $60 billion, positioning the frontier AI developer ahead of rivals like OpenAI in the race to public markets, bolstered by Amazon and Google partnerships. A 20% chance of no IPO by end-2027 reflects potential delays from regulatory scrutiny on AI safety or volatile tech listings, with lower brackets dismissed due to sustained high private multiples and competitive momentum. Watch for S-1 filings or model benchmarks as key catalysts.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Объем
$92,654Дата окончания
Dec 31, 2027Открытие рынка
Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Anthropic achieving a 600B+ closing market cap at IPO (75% implied probability), driven by its February 2026 Series G funding round that raised $30 billion at a $380 billion post-money valuation—the second-largest private tech deal ever—amid explosive revenue growth to $19 billion ARR from Claude large language model adoption. Fresh reports from the past 48 hours indicate early banker talks for a Q4 2026 listing raising over $60 billion, positioning the frontier AI developer ahead of rivals like OpenAI in the race to public markets, bolstered by Amazon and Google partnerships. A 20% chance of no IPO by end-2027 reflects potential delays from regulatory scrutiny on AI safety or volatile tech listings, with lower brackets dismissed due to sustained high private multiples and competitive momentum. Watch for S-1 filings or model benchmarks as key catalysts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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