Trader sentiment on Anthropic's Claude achieving a strong FrontierMath score by June 30 hinges on the April 16 release of Claude Opus 4.7, which posted top-tier results like 94.2% on GPQA Diamond—a demanding reasoning benchmark—signaling math capability gains over prior versions. Opus 4.6 had tied OpenAI's GPT-5.2 at 40% on FrontierMath Tiers 1-3 but lagged on Tier 4 (22.9% vs. 35.4%), reflecting the benchmark's frontier-level open math problems that test novel insight beyond pattern matching. With a May 7 compute partnership with SpaceX boosting capacity, Anthropic could iterate rapidly, though no new model announcements confirm a pre-deadline push. Traders eye competitive pressure from OpenAI's GPT-5.4 leaderboard lead (47.6%) and resolution criteria amid AI math progress accelerating monthly.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоАнтропный балл Клода по FrontierMath Benchmark к 30 июня?
Антропный балл Клода по FrontierMath Benchmark к 30 июня?
$59,961 Объем
50%+
37%
$59,961 Объем
50%+
37%
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jan 30, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment on Anthropic's Claude achieving a strong FrontierMath score by June 30 hinges on the April 16 release of Claude Opus 4.7, which posted top-tier results like 94.2% on GPQA Diamond—a demanding reasoning benchmark—signaling math capability gains over prior versions. Opus 4.6 had tied OpenAI's GPT-5.2 at 40% on FrontierMath Tiers 1-3 but lagged on Tier 4 (22.9% vs. 35.4%), reflecting the benchmark's frontier-level open math problems that test novel insight beyond pattern matching. With a May 7 compute partnership with SpaceX boosting capacity, Anthropic could iterate rapidly, though no new model announcements confirm a pre-deadline push. Traders eye competitive pressure from OpenAI's GPT-5.4 leaderboard lead (47.6%) and resolution criteria amid AI math progress accelerating monthly.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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