Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6, released February 5, 2026, delivered a breakthrough 40% score on FrontierMath Tiers 1-3—tying OpenAI's GPT-5.2 at 41% and quadrupling prior Tier 4 results—demonstrating accelerated mathematical reasoning on this Epoch AI benchmark of unsolved research problems. Amid fierce competition, with GPT-5.4 now leading overall at 47.6%, traders weigh Anthropic's aggressive 2026 cadence of model updates like Sonnet 4.6 against scaling hurdles and historical delays in frontier AI capabilities. Key catalysts ahead include potential Claude 5 previews or developer conferences by June 30, where demonstrated benchmarks could shift market-implied odds on achieving higher thresholds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоАнтропный балл Клода по FrontierMath Benchmark к 30 июня?
Антропный балл Клода по FrontierMath Benchmark к 30 июня?
$56,090 Объем
50%+
64%
$56,090 Объем
50%+
64%
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jan 30, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6, released February 5, 2026, delivered a breakthrough 40% score on FrontierMath Tiers 1-3—tying OpenAI's GPT-5.2 at 41% and quadrupling prior Tier 4 results—demonstrating accelerated mathematical reasoning on this Epoch AI benchmark of unsolved research problems. Amid fierce competition, with GPT-5.4 now leading overall at 47.6%, traders weigh Anthropic's aggressive 2026 cadence of model updates like Sonnet 4.6 against scaling hurdles and historical delays in frontier AI capabilities. Key catalysts ahead include potential Claude 5 previews or developer conferences by June 30, where demonstrated benchmarks could shift market-implied odds on achieving higher thresholds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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