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Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
93.2¢
99.2¢

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m?
79.7¢
93.5¢

Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m?

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
74.5¢
98.3¢

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?

Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 43m and 47m?
39.6¢
76.5¢

Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 43m and 47m?

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
30.1¢
38.9¢

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
54.1¢
78.5¢

Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026?
88.1¢
94.2¢

Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026?

Will Mike Collins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?
74.5¢
94.1¢

Will Mike Collins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
95.9¢
98.7¢

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
19.5¢
59¢

Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?

GPT-5.6 released by June 23, 2026?

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?
71.5¢
86.5¢

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?
70.6¢
82¢

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?

Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026?
90¢
97.1¢

Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026?

Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
63¢
82.5¢

Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?
36.4¢
64.5¢

Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?

Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
75.9¢
79.5¢

Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
