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PolóNia previsões e probabilidades

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Russian strike on Poland by...?

Russian strike on Poland by...?

3%

June 30, 2026

$2M Vol.

$74.6K Liq.

246

Ends há 4 meses

Will Russia invade a NATO country by...?

Will Russia invade a NATO country by...?

2%

June 30, 2026

$4M Vol.

$65.6K Liq.

59

Ends há 4 meses

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

5%

$113K Vol.

$19.2K Liq.

11

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

X banned in any European country by December 31?

X banned in any European country by December 31?

35%

$10.1K Vol.

$1.7K Liq.

2

Ends em 8 meses

Eurovision Winner 2026

Eurovision Winner 2026

35%

Finland

$131M Vol.

$1M today

$15M Liq.

550

Ends em 9 dias

Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner

Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner

30%

Israel

$6M Vol.

$651K Liq.

7

Ends em 9 dias

Eurovision 2026: Jury Winner

Eurovision 2026: Jury Winner

32%

Australia

$2M Vol.

$709K Liq.

Ends em 9 dias

Eurovision 2026: Top 5

Eurovision 2026: Top 5

82%

Finland

$223K Vol.

$338K Liq.

3

Ends em 9 dias

Eurovision 2026: First Semi-Final

Eurovision 2026: First Semi-Final

100%

Finland

$608K Vol.

$152K Liq.

5

Ends em 5 dias

Eurovision 2026: Top 10

Eurovision 2026: Top 10

95%

Finland

$590K Vol.

$383K Liq.

1

Ends em 9 dias

Eurovision 2026: Top 3

Eurovision 2026: Top 3

70%

Finland

$125K Vol.

$283K Liq.

1

Ends em 9 dias

Eurovision Last Place 2026

Eurovision Last Place 2026

29%

Austria

$75.7K Vol.

$63.7K Liq.

2

Ends em 9 dias

UEFA Europa Conference League: Home country of champion

UEFA Europa Conference League: Home country of champion

52%

England

$10.2K Vol.

$1.5K Liq.

Ends em 14 dias

Zelenskyy # posts May 5 - May 12, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts May 5 - May 12, 2026?

53%

60-79

$2.7K Vol.

$4.0K Liq.

Ends em 6 dias

What floor price will Pudgy Penguins hit before 2027?

What floor price will Pudgy Penguins hit before 2027?

25%

↑ 10 ETH

$3.5K Vol.

$768 Liq.

5

Ends em 8 meses

Zelenskyy # posts May 8 - May 15, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts May 8 - May 15, 2026?

32%

60-79

$500 Vol.

$3.2K Liq.

Ends em 9 dias

Zelenskyy # posts May 1 - May 8, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts May 1 - May 8, 2026?

44%

100-119

$14.9K Vol.

$5.7K Liq.

Ends em 2 dias

Korea Republic vs. Czechia

Korea Republic vs. Czechia

37%

Korea Republic

$2.7K Vol.

$25.4K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

68%

$545K Vol.

$46.7K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

What will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit in May 2026?

What will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit in May 2026?

29%

↓ $150

$8.2K Vol.

$1.7K Liq.

Ends em 26 dias

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like PolóNia.

Polymarket currently hosts 122 active markets for PolóNia that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Russian strike on Poland by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $147.6M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? ”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Eurovision Winner 2026,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Eurovision Winner 2026,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 35% chance to Finland. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on PolóNia predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.