Russian strike on Poland by...?

Russian strike on Poland by...?

5%

June 30, 2026

$2M Vol.

$12.1K Liq.

245

Ends há 3 meses

Will Russia invade a NATO country by...?

Will Russia invade a NATO country by...?

4%

June 30, 2026

$4M Vol.

$68.9K Liq.

56

Ends há 3 meses

Any of the stolen KitKats recovered by April 5?

Any of the stolen KitKats recovered by April 5?

9%

$205K Vol.

$61.4K Liq.

26

Ends em 1 dia

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

8%

$102K Vol.

$18.9K Liq.

11

Ends em 3 meses

X banned in any European country by December 31?

X banned in any European country by December 31?

23%

$343 Vol.

$11.0K Liq.

Ends em 9 meses

Eurovision Winner 2026

Eurovision Winner 2026

37%

Finland

$58M Vol.

$2M today

$9M Liq.

258

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Iran military action against ___ by March 31?

Iran military action against ___ by March 31?

63%

UAE

$4M Vol.

$149K today

$168K Liq.

Ends há 3 dias

Iran military action against ___ by April 30?

Iran military action against ___ by April 30?

100%

Bahrain

$247K Vol.

$672K Liq.

Ends em 27 dias

Eurovision 2026: Jury Winner

Eurovision 2026: Jury Winner

33%

Australia

$780K Vol.

$751K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner

Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner

40%

Israel

$5M Vol.

$840K Liq.

4

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Eurovision 2026: Top 10

Eurovision 2026: Top 10

89%

Finland

$144K Vol.

$429K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Eurovision 2026: Top 5

Eurovision 2026: Top 5

82%

Finland

$51.8K Vol.

$278K Liq.

2

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Eurovision 2026: First Semi-Final

Eurovision 2026: First Semi-Final

98%

Finland

$416K Vol.

$160K Liq.

1

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Eurovision 2026: Top 3

Eurovision 2026: Top 3

71%

Finland

$28.6K Vol.

$305K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Eurovision Last Place 2026

Eurovision Last Place 2026

22%

Austria

$30.8K Vol.

$125K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (April 3)

What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (April 3)

92%

Trump

$675 Vol.

$1.1K Liq.

Ends há cerca de 9 horas

UEFA Europa Conference League: Home country of champion

UEFA Europa Conference League: Home country of champion

39%

Spain

$737 Vol.

$17.5K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Zelenskyy # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?

31%

40-59

$627 Vol.

$4.1K Liq.

Ends em 7 dias

Zelenskyy # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?

39%

100-119

$1.5K Vol.

$7.1K Liq.

Ends em 4 dias

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

98%

Isfahan nuclear facility

$703K Vol.

$168K today

$24.3K Liq.

240

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like PolóNia.

Polymarket currently hosts 130 active markets for PolóNia that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Russian strike on Poland by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $76.1M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? ”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Eurovision Winner 2026,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Eurovision Winner 2026,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 37% chance to Finland. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on PolóNia predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.