5kt meteor strike in 2026?

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

44%

$277K Vol.

$4.5K Liq.

Ends em 9 meses

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

19%

$140K Vol.

$15.5K Liq.

Ends em 9 meses

Natural Disaster in 2026?

Natural Disaster in 2026?

30%

$191K Vol.

$20.6K Liq.

6

Ends em 9 meses

March 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

March 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

55%

1.25–1.29ºC

$232K Vol.

$13.7K Liq.

Ends em 6 dias

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

45%

2

$2M Vol.

$148K Liq.

17

Ends em 9 meses

2026 April 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

2026 April 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

36%

3rd hottest

$4.6K Vol.

$5.8K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

2026 March 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

2026 March 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

99%

4th or lower

$281K Vol.

$22.4K Liq.

Ends em 6 dias

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

5%

$102K Vol.

$11.3K Liq.

6

Ends em 9 meses

April 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

April 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

28%

1.20–1.24ºC

$18.7K Vol.

$7.1K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?

Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?

73%

$112K Vol.

$6.8K Liq.

3

Ends em 9 meses

100kt meteor strike in 2026?

100kt meteor strike in 2026?

7%

$6.3K Vol.

$3.4K Liq.

4

Ends em 9 meses

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

12%

Super Heavy booster explodes?

$1M Vol.

$38.2K Liq.

40

Ends há 2 meses

How many major Space Weather events this week? (April 5 - April 11)

How many major Space Weather events this week? (April 5 - April 11)

47%

<3

$31 Vol.

$2.4K Liq.

Ends em 7 dias

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

53%

June 30, 2026

$2M Vol.

$11.8K Liq.

108

Ends em 3 meses

What will Natural Gas (NG) hit in April 2026?

What will Natural Gas (NG) hit in April 2026?

73%

↑ $3.00

$63.1K Vol.

$59.2K Liq.

1

Ends em 28 dias

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

36%

December 31, 2026

$439K Vol.

$5.0K Liq.

28

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

17%

December 31

$23M Vol.

$283K today

$1M Liq.

827

Ends em 9 meses

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

18%

April 30

$51.7K Vol.

$8.0K Liq.

18

Ends em 26 dias

What price will Aster hit in 2026?

What price will Aster hit in 2026?

35%

↑ 1.80

$65.4K Vol.

$5.2K Liq.

5

Ends em 9 meses

Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?

Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?

84%

50

$16.2K Vol.

$5.6K Liq.

2

Ends em 9 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Nasa.

Polymarket currently hosts 111 active markets for Nasa that lets you track or trade on predictions like “5kt meteor strike in 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $31.2M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Natural Disaster in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 17% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Nasa predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.