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Nasa previsões e probabilidades

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5kt meteor strike in 2026?

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

29%

$299K Vol.

$4.7K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

16%

$151K Vol.

$32.9K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Natural Disaster in 2026?

Natural Disaster in 2026?

29%

$217K Vol.

$1.5K Liq.

6

Ends em 8 meses

Trump goes to space in 2026?

Trump goes to space in 2026?

3%

$2.2K Vol.

$59.5K Liq.

5

Ends em 8 meses

2026 May 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

2026 May 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

43%

1st hottest

$29.6K Vol.

$31.3K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

April 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

April 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

89%

1.15–1.19ºC

$322K Vol.

$34.0K Liq.

Ends em 3 dias

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

57%

2

$3M Vol.

$96.9K Liq.

18

Ends em 8 meses

2026 April 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

2026 April 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

95%

3rd hottest

$91.9K Vol.

$6.5K Liq.

Ends em 3 dias

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

2%

$105K Vol.

$3.6K Liq.

5

Ends em 8 meses

May 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

May 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

39%

1.20–1.24ºC

$4.1K Vol.

$3.8K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Pluto reclassified as a planet by June 30?

Pluto reclassified as a planet by June 30?

6%

$20.3K Vol.

$830 Liq.

3

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?

Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?

81%

$134K Vol.

$3.1K Liq.

3

Ends em 8 meses

100kt meteor strike in 2026?

100kt meteor strike in 2026?

5%

$7.2K Vol.

$1.6K Liq.

4

Ends em 8 meses

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

91%

June 30

$2M Vol.

$17.9K Liq.

43

Ends há 3 meses

How many major Space Weather events this week? (May 3 - May 9)

How many major Space Weather events this week? (May 3 - May 9)

66%

0

$1.3K Vol.

$1.0K Liq.

Ends em 2 dias

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

79%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$6.1K Liq.

123

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

What will Natural Gas (NG) hit in May 2026?

What will Natural Gas (NG) hit in May 2026?

81%

↓ $2.60

$80.3K Vol.

$33.6K Liq.

Ends em 25 dias

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

47%

December 31, 2027

$473K Vol.

$5.5K Liq.

33

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

20%

December 31

$32M Vol.

$409K today

$806K Liq.

1,035

Ends em 8 meses

What will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit in May 2026?

What will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit in May 2026?

83%

↑ $405

$75.1K Vol.

$12.9K Liq.

Ends em 25 dias

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Nasa.

Polymarket currently hosts 113 active markets for Nasa that lets you track or trade on predictions like “5kt meteor strike in 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $41.3M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Natural Disaster in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 20% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Nasa predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.